Price Prediction of S&P 500 Using Machine Learning

Forecasting trends in stock indices is considered a difficult task in financial time series forecasting. Accurate forecasts of stock price trends can generate profits for investors. Due to the complexity of stock market data, developing effective forecasting models is very challenging. We are trying to predict stock prices for the next few days. This will become the basis for knowing the right time to invest or exit positions and generate profits. With the introduction of artificial intelligence and the increase in computing capacity, programmed forecasting methods have proven to be more effective at predicting stock prices. In this work, we used supervised machine learning algorithms such as linear regression model, SVR, XGBoost, and random forest. Thus, these models are evaluated using standard strategic indicators such as the EMR. A low value of the indicator shows that the models are effective in predicting stock prices.

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Publication Details

Journal
The Journal of Prediction Markets
Published
2025-10-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5750/jpm.v19i1.2224
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.11
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article

Price Prediction of S&P 500 Using Machine Learning

Mohammed Dahmani
1 citations
The Journal of Prediction Markets
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
2.11
article

Price Prediction of S&P 500 Using Machine Learning

Mohammed Dahmani
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Forecasting trends in stock indices is considered a difficult task in financial time series forecasting. Accurate forecasts of stock price trends can generate profits for investors. Due to the complexity of stock market data, developing effective forecasting models is very challenging. We are trying to predict stock prices for the next few days. This will become the basis for knowing the right time to invest or exit positions and generate profits. With the introduction of artificial intelligence and the increase in computing capacity, programmed forecasting methods have proven to be more effective at predicting stock prices. In this work, we used supervised machine learning algorithms such as linear regression model, SVR, XGBoost, and random forest. Thus, these models are evaluated using standard strategic indicators such as the EMR. A low value of the indicator shows that the models are effective in predicting stock prices.

The Journal of Prediction MarketsVol. 19(1)
Institut Pasteur (FR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
2.11
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