APPLICATION OF COGNITIVE MODELLING TOOLS FOR ANALYSIS OF PERFORMANCE PER UNIT OF EQUIPMENTWHEN CONDUCTING FIELDWORK

The purpose of the article is to analyse and predict the output per 1 tractor/hour, as a target factor, the influence of various control factors, taking into account empirical data and expert assessment methods based on cognitive methodology, which was used for the first time to study this problem area. The paper presents the results analysis of the production and technical performance of tractors during spring and summer fieldwork in 2020 in six farms of Omsk Region – output per 1 tractor/hour for various types of work (plowing, tilling, sowing, etc.); the number of hectares per 1 tractor for the studied farms was calculated and compared to the average output per 1 tractor/hour. Taking into account the results of statistical data analysis and the opinion of experts, a cognitive model of the output level for 1 tractor/hour was developed during the study, and with the help of a specialized software tool, a series of computer experiments were conducted on the developed model. The most significant control factor influencing the target factor was forecasted − output per 1 tractor/hour; recommendations for its effective management were formulated.