Wealth, gifts, and estate planning at the end of life

We show that gifts made to heirs before death are substantial and highly responsive to taxation. Using intergenerationally-linked administrative data from the Netherlands and exploiting variation in the timing of death, we find that single people (including widows) with children transfer around 10 % of their wealth to their children in anticipation of death. This is almost entirely in the form of tax-exempt gifts. Exploiting bunching at kink points in the gift tax schedule and a reform to inheritance taxation, we estimate elasticities of gifts and wealth to taxation and find that tax-avoidance accounts for at least a significant minority of this deathbed giving. The ability to make tax-favoured gifts means that the revenue-maximising flat inheritance tax rate is at most 37 %. Equalising the tax rate on deathbed gifts and inheritances at death would increase revenues raised from singles by 10 %. • In the Netherlands, single people with children transfer around a tenth of their wealth to their children in anticipation of death. • Those with larger amounts of wealth and who suffer a health shock further in advance of death make larger deathbed transfers. • These transfers are responsive to tax incentives to transfers wealth as gifts while alive rather than after death. • The ability to make tax-free gifts limits the revenue-maximizing flat rate of inheritance tax to 37 %. • A reform that taxed deathbed gifts at the same rate as inheritances would increase inheritance and gifts tax revenues from singles by 10 %.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Public Economics
Published
2025-10-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105492
Primary Topic
Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
Type
article
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article

Wealth, gifts, and estate planning at the end of life

David Sturrock, Jan Möhlmann, S.P.T. Groot
Journal of Public Economics
Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
article

Wealth, gifts, and estate planning at the end of life

David Sturrock, Jan Möhlmann, S.P.T. Groot
article en

Abstract

We show that gifts made to heirs before death are substantial and highly responsive to taxation. Using intergenerationally-linked administrative data from the Netherlands and exploiting variation in the timing of death, we find that single people (including widows) with children transfer around 10 % of their wealth to their children in anticipation of death. This is almost entirely in the form of tax-exempt gifts. Exploiting bunching at kink points in the gift tax schedule and a reform to inheritance taxation, we estimate elasticities of gifts and wealth to taxation and find that tax-avoidance accounts for at least a significant minority of this deathbed giving. The ability to make tax-favoured gifts means that the revenue-maximising flat inheritance tax rate is at most 37 %. Equalising the tax rate on deathbed gifts and inheritances at death would increase revenues raised from singles by 10 %. • In the Netherlands, single people with children transfer around a tenth of their wealth to their children in anticipation of death. • Those with larger amounts of wealth and who suffer a health shock further in advance of death make larger deathbed transfers. • These transfers are responsive to tax incentives to transfers wealth as gifts while alive rather than after death. • The ability to make tax-free gifts limits the revenue-maximizing flat rate of inheritance tax to 37 %. • A reform that taxed deathbed gifts at the same rate as inheritances would increase inheritance and gifts tax revenues from singles by 10 %.

Journal of Public EconomicsVol. 250
Institute for Fiscal Studies (GB), CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (NL), University College London (GB), De Nederlandsche Bank (NL)
Openalex Percentile: Top 60%
Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
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Wealth, gifts, and estate planning at the end of life — David Sturrock, Jan Möhlmann, et al. · Journal of Public Economics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS