Persistent Coastal Temperature Biases in km‐Scale Climate Models Due To Unresolved Oceanic Tidal Mixing

Abstract Recent advances in numerical modeling have enabled km‐scale climate simulations, improving global climate representation and local‐scale projections, critical to climate adaptation strategies. In this context, the present study assesses the performance of such models over coastal shelf seas—key climate‐sensitive regions—in their ability to represent the sea surface temperature (SST) and air temperature. Compared to satellite and reanalysis data, the models exhibit systematic warm biases (3°C in SST, 1.5°C in air temperature) in summer across several shelf seas: the European shelf, the Gulf of Maine, the Yellow sea, the Arctic and Patagonian shelves. These biases strongly correlate with tidal mixing fronts, driven by the dissipation of the barotropic tide and identified by the Simpson‐Hunter parameter. These findings suggest that missing tidal mixing is a significant error source on coastal shelves, highlighting the need for improved ocean mixing representations to enhance model accuracy.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2025-10-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl118014
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Persistent Coastal Temperature Biases in km‐Scale Climate Models Due To Unresolved Oceanic Tidal Mixing

Malcolm Roberts, Louis Marié, Audrey Delpech, Anne‐Marie Tréguier et al.
Geophysical Research Letters
Climate variability and models
article

Persistent Coastal Temperature Biases in km‐Scale Climate Models Due To Unresolved Oceanic Tidal Mixing

Malcolm Roberts, Louis Marié, Audrey Delpech, Anne‐Marie Tréguier, Rohit Ghosh
article en

Abstract

Abstract Recent advances in numerical modeling have enabled km‐scale climate simulations, improving global climate representation and local‐scale projections, critical to climate adaptation strategies. In this context, the present study assesses the performance of such models over coastal shelf seas—key climate‐sensitive regions—in their ability to represent the sea surface temperature (SST) and air temperature. Compared to satellite and reanalysis data, the models exhibit systematic warm biases (3°C in SST, 1.5°C in air temperature) in summer across several shelf seas: the European shelf, the Gulf of Maine, the Yellow sea, the Arctic and Patagonian shelves. These biases strongly correlate with tidal mixing fronts, driven by the dissipation of the barotropic tide and identified by the Simpson‐Hunter parameter. These findings suggest that missing tidal mixing is a significant error source on coastal shelves, highlighting the need for improved ocean mixing representations to enhance model accuracy.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 52(19)
Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung (DE), Met Office (GB), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), Ifremer (FR), Université de Bretagne Occidentale (FR), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (FR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 74%
Climate variability and models
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Persistent Coastal Temperature Biases in km‐Scale Climate Models Due To Unresolved Oceanic Tidal Mixing — Malcolm Roberts, Louis Marié, et al. · Geophysical Research Letters (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS