Runaway Cooling From Large Solar Reductions Modulated by Ocean Overturning Circulation and Heat Uptake

Abstract The climate system can respond asymmetrically to warming and cooling, yet this asymmetry remains underexplored. This study uses multi‐century experiments with two coupled global climate models under idealized abrupt solar forcing changes of 1%, 2%, 4%, and 6%. In both models, cooling has a larger impact on surface temperature than warming, driven by the ice‐albedo feedback. However, under strong cooling (−4%, −6% Solar), the models diverge significantly. One model undergoes runaway ice growth, while the other has slower ice expansion and even transient sea ice retreat in the north Pacific. The latter is linked to the development of a strong Pacific meridional overturning circulation, which transports heat northward and slows ice growth. The model with less ice growth also exhibits greater “cold uptake into” (or heat release from) the deep ocean. These findings motivate further investigation of inter‐model differences in ocean‐ice‐atmosphere interactions and their impacts on climate feedbacks.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2025-10-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl117821
Primary Topic
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Runaway Cooling From Large Solar Reductions Modulated by Ocean Overturning Circulation and Heat Uptake

Maya V. Chung, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Wenchang Yang
Geophysical Research Letters
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
article

Runaway Cooling From Large Solar Reductions Modulated by Ocean Overturning Circulation and Heat Uptake

Maya V. Chung, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Wenchang Yang
article en

Abstract

Abstract The climate system can respond asymmetrically to warming and cooling, yet this asymmetry remains underexplored. This study uses multi‐century experiments with two coupled global climate models under idealized abrupt solar forcing changes of 1%, 2%, 4%, and 6%. In both models, cooling has a larger impact on surface temperature than warming, driven by the ice‐albedo feedback. However, under strong cooling (−4%, −6% Solar), the models diverge significantly. One model undergoes runaway ice growth, while the other has slower ice expansion and even transient sea ice retreat in the north Pacific. The latter is linked to the development of a strong Pacific meridional overturning circulation, which transports heat northward and slows ice growth. The model with less ice growth also exhibits greater “cold uptake into” (or heat release from) the deep ocean. These findings motivate further investigation of inter‐model differences in ocean‐ice‐atmosphere interactions and their impacts on climate feedbacks.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 52(19)
Princeton University (US)
National Science Foundation
Openalex Percentile: Top 68%
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
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Runaway Cooling From Large Solar Reductions Modulated by Ocean Overturning Circulation and Heat Uptake — Maya V. Chung, Gabriel A. Vecchi, et al. · Geophysical Research Letters (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS