Physics of North Indian Ocean tropical cyclones

This research paper focuses on the applicability of two well-known concepts, Convective Quasi Equilibrium (CQE) and Convective Instability of the Second Kind (CISK), in the genesis of tropical cyclones (TCs), over the North Indian Ocean (NIO). Using high-resolution regional reanalysis IMDAA data from NCMRWF, we study the applicability of CQE and CISK during pre-monsoon (April and May) and post-monsoon (October and November) for the 1979 to 2020 period. In this study we found that CQE seems to be applicable over some regions of Arabian Sea (AS) in the pre-monsoon season only. However, TCs form over the entire AS, thus CISK mechanism may be vital in pre-monsoon over the AS. In post-monsoon season, over the Bay of Bengal (BB), CQE is found to be applicable. Also, we found the applicability of the CISK, over the BB, both in the pre- and post-monsoon seasons. The study of individual TCs confirms these results regarding the genesis mechanisms of TCs over NIO. Another important, feature we discovered over the AS is the strong, diurnal variation of humidity.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2025-10-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-17989-w
Primary Topic
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Physics of North Indian Ocean tropical cyclones

V. S. Prasad, V. S. Lakshmi Bhargavi, V. Brahmananda Rao, Dandu Govardhan et al.
Scientific Reports
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
article

Physics of North Indian Ocean tropical cyclones

V. S. Prasad, V. S. Lakshmi Bhargavi, V. Brahmananda Rao, Dandu Govardhan, Mohan Thota, C. V. Srinivas
article en

Abstract

This research paper focuses on the applicability of two well-known concepts, Convective Quasi Equilibrium (CQE) and Convective Instability of the Second Kind (CISK), in the genesis of tropical cyclones (TCs), over the North Indian Ocean (NIO). Using high-resolution regional reanalysis IMDAA data from NCMRWF, we study the applicability of CQE and CISK during pre-monsoon (April and May) and post-monsoon (October and November) for the 1979 to 2020 period. In this study we found that CQE seems to be applicable over some regions of Arabian Sea (AS) in the pre-monsoon season only. However, TCs form over the entire AS, thus CISK mechanism may be vital in pre-monsoon over the AS. In post-monsoon season, over the Bay of Bengal (BB), CQE is found to be applicable. Also, we found the applicability of the CISK, over the BB, both in the pre- and post-monsoon seasons. The study of individual TCs confirms these results regarding the genesis mechanisms of TCs over NIO. Another important, feature we discovered over the AS is the strong, diurnal variation of humidity.

Scientific ReportsVol. 15(1)
Andhra University (IN), National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (IN), Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IN), Homi Bhabha National Institute (IN), Indira Gandhi Centre for Atomic Research (IN), Indian Institute of Science Bangalore (IN), Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (BR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 68%
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
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Physics of North Indian Ocean tropical cyclones — V. S. Prasad, V. S. Lakshmi Bhargavi, et al. · Scientific Reports (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS