DebtStreamness: An ecological approach to credit flows in inter-firm networks

Abstract Understanding how credit flows through inter-firm networks is critical for assessing financial stability and systemic risk. In this study, we introduce DebtStreamness, a novel metric inspired by trophic levels in ecological food webs, to quantify the position of firms within credit chains. By viewing credit as the primary energy source of the economy, we measure how far credit travels through inter-firm relationships before reaching its final borrowers. Applying this framework to Uruguay's inter-firm credit and financial institutions-firm networks, using credit registry and survey data from the Central Bank, we find that credit chains are generally short, with a tiered structure in which some firms act as intermediaries, lending to others further along the chain. We also find that local network motifs such as loops can substantially increase a firm's DebtStreamness, even when its direct borrowing from financial institutions remains the same. Comparing our results with standard economic classifications based on input-output linkages, we find that DebtStreamness captures distinct financial structures not visible through production data. We further validate our approach using two maximum-entropy network reconstruction methods, demonstrating the robustness of DebtStreamness in capturing systemic credit structures. These results suggest that DebtStreamness offers a complementary ecological perspective on systemic credit risk and highlights the role of hidden financial intermediation in firm networks.

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Publication Details

Journal
PNAS Nexus
Published
2026-05-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgag170
Primary Topic
Firm Innovation and Growth
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

DebtStreamness: An ecological approach to credit flows in inter-firm networks

Francesco Caravelli, Pierpaolo Vivo, Anahí Rodríguez-Martínez, Fabio Caccioli et al.
PNAS Nexus
Firm Innovation and Growth
article

DebtStreamness: An ecological approach to credit flows in inter-firm networks

Francesco Caravelli, Pierpaolo Vivo, Anahí Rodríguez-Martínez, Fabio Caccioli, Victoria Landaberry, Silvia Bartolucci
article en

Abstract

Abstract Understanding how credit flows through inter-firm networks is critical for assessing financial stability and systemic risk. In this study, we introduce DebtStreamness, a novel metric inspired by trophic levels in ecological food webs, to quantify the position of firms within credit chains. By viewing credit as the primary energy source of the economy, we measure how far credit travels through inter-firm relationships before reaching its final borrowers. Applying this framework to Uruguay's inter-firm credit and financial institutions-firm networks, using credit registry and survey data from the Central Bank, we find that credit chains are generally short, with a tiered structure in which some firms act as intermediaries, lending to others further along the chain. We also find that local network motifs such as loops can substantially increase a firm's DebtStreamness, even when its direct borrowing from financial institutions remains the same. Comparing our results with standard economic classifications based on input-output linkages, we find that DebtStreamness captures distinct financial structures not visible through production data. We further validate our approach using two maximum-entropy network reconstruction methods, demonstrating the robustness of DebtStreamness in capturing systemic credit structures. These results suggest that DebtStreamness offers a complementary ecological perspective on systemic credit risk and highlights the role of hidden financial intermediation in firm networks.

PNAS Nexus
Los Alamos National Laboratory (US), King's College London (GB), Banco Central del Uruguay (UY), Systemic Risk Centre (GB), University College London (GB), London School of Economics and Political Science (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 100%
Firm Innovation and Growth
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