Improved MNet-Atten Electric Vehicle Charging Load Forecasting Based on Composite Decomposition and Evolutionary Predator–Prey and Strategy
In the context of low carbon, achieving accurate forecasting of electrical energy is critical for power management with the continuous development of power systems. For the sake of improving the performance of load forecasting, an improved MNet-Atten electric vehicle charging load forecasting based on composite decomposition and the evolutionary predator–prey and strategy model is proposed. In this light, through the data decomposition theory, each subsequence is processed using complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition and filters out high-frequency white noise by using singular value decomposition based on matrix operation, which improves the anti-interference ability and computational efficiency of the model. In the model construction stage, the MNet-Atten prediction model is developed and constructed. The convolution module is used to mine the local dependencies of the sequences, and the long term and short-term features of the data are extracted through the loop and loop skip modules to improve the predictability of the data itself. Furthermore, the evolutionary predator and prey strategy is used to iteratively optimize the learning rate of the MNet-Atten for improving the forecasting performance and convergence speed of the model. The autoregressive module is used to enhance the ability of the neural network to identify linear features and improve the prediction performance of the model. Increasing temporal attention to give more weight to important features for global and local linkage capture. Additionally, the electric vehicle charging load data in a certain region, as an example, is verified, and the average value of 30 running times of the combined model proposed is 117.3231 s, and the correlation coefficient PCC of the CEEMD-SVD-EPPS-MNet-Atten model is closer to 1. Furthermore, the CEEMD-SVD-EPPS-MNet-Atten model has the lowest MAPE, RMSE, and PCC. The results show that the model in this paper can better extract the characteristics of the data, improve the modeling efficiency, and have a high data prediction accuracy.
Authors
- Qi Jiang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9496-1416)
- Xiaobin Wei (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0009-4072-5966)
- Xiangfeng Kong (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8034-6682)
- H. Amy Xia (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0004-4184-3503)
Institutions
- Zibo Vocational Institute (CN)
- Changzhou Vocational Institute of Light Industry (CN)
- Shandong Transportation Research Institute (CN)
- Shandong Special Equipment Inspection Institute (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- World Electric Vehicle Journal
- Published
- 2025-10-02
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16100564
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Energy Load and Power Forecasting
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.73
Funders
- Texas Space Grant Consortium