Climate-linked escalation of societally disastrous wildfires

Climate change and land mismanagement are creating increasingly fire-prone built and natural environments. However, despite worsening fire seasons, evidence is lacking globally for trends in socially and economically disastrous wildfires, partly due to sparse systematic records. Using a 44-year dataset (1980 to 2023) we analyze the distribution, trends, and climatic conditions connected with the most lethal and costly wildfires. Disastrous wildfires occurred globally over this period but were concentrated in the Mediterranean and temperate conifer biomes. Disaster risk was highest where highly energetic daily fire events intersected affluent, populated areas. Economic disasters increased sharply from 2015 onward, with 43% of the 200 most damaging events occurring in the last decade. Disasters coincided with increasingly extreme climatic conditions, highlighting the urgent need to adapt to a more fire-prone world.

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Publication Details

Journal
Science
Published
2025-10-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adr5127
Citations
10
Primary Topic
Fire effects on ecosystems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
11.05
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article

Climate-linked escalation of societally disastrous wildfires

John T. Abatzoglou, Markus Steuer, Grant J. Williamson, Calum X. Cunningham et al.
10 citations
Science
Fire effects on ecosystems
11.05
article

Climate-linked escalation of societally disastrous wildfires

John T. Abatzoglou, Markus Steuer, Grant J. Williamson, Calum X. Cunningham, David M. J. S. Bowman, Crystal A. Kolden
article en
10 citations

Abstract

Climate change and land mismanagement are creating increasingly fire-prone built and natural environments. However, despite worsening fire seasons, evidence is lacking globally for trends in socially and economically disastrous wildfires, partly due to sparse systematic records. Using a 44-year dataset (1980 to 2023) we analyze the distribution, trends, and climatic conditions connected with the most lethal and costly wildfires. Disastrous wildfires occurred globally over this period but were concentrated in the Mediterranean and temperate conifer biomes. Disaster risk was highest where highly energetic daily fire events intersected affluent, populated areas. Economic disasters increased sharply from 2015 onward, with 43% of the 200 most damaging events occurring in the last decade. Disasters coincided with increasingly extreme climatic conditions, highlighting the urgent need to adapt to a more fire-prone world.

ScienceVol. 390(6768)
University of Tasmania (AU), University of California, Merced (US), Remote Sensing Solutions (Germany) (DE)
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Fire effects on ecosystems
11.05
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Climate-linked escalation of societally disastrous wildfires — John T. Abatzoglou, Markus Steuer, et al. · Science (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS