PREDICTING AIR POLLUTANTS IN URBAN ENVIRONMENTS USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK MODELS

Air quality monitoring plays a vital role in protecting human health and supporting environmental sustainability, especially in densely populated urban areas where anthropogenic activities intensify pollutant emissions.In this study, the concentrations of key air pollutants: PM10, CO, CO2, SO2, NO2, and O3 were assessed under diverse environmental and social conditions through the application of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN).Data were obtained from three major cities in Jordan, incorporating meteorological factors (wind speed, temperature, humidity) as well as socio-economic variables (population density and vehicular traffic).The ANN model was trained to predict pollutant concentrations based on these inputs, and its performance was evaluated using statistical indices.Among the analyzed pollutants, CO exhibited the strongest correlation with environmental parameters, achieving a mean squared error (MSE) of 7.2 10 3 and a correlation coefficient (R 2 ) approaching unity, thereby confirming the robustness of the model's predictive capacity.In contrast, pollutants such as NO2, O3, and PM10 demonstrated variable prediction accuracy, with PM10 presenting the weakest correlation, likely due to the complex and heterogeneous nature of particulate matter sources.The ANN-derived equations provide a computationally efficient tool for forecasting pollutant levels in urban areas where conventional monitoring networks are limited or resource-intensive.These findings underline the potential of ANN-based approaches to complement existing air quality management strategies and to serve as cost-effective predictive systems for realtime urban air pollution assessment.Future research should aim to refine the predictive capacity for pollutants with lower correlations by integrating additional explanatory variables, expanding the temporal and spatial datasets, and exploring hybrid modeling frameworks that combine ANN with other machine learning techniques.

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Publication Details

Journal
Environmental Engineering and Management Journal
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.30638/eemj.2025.129
Primary Topic
Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
Type
article
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article

PREDICTING AIR POLLUTANTS IN URBAN ENVIRONMENTS USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK MODELS

Mamdouh El Haj Assad, Ehab Hussein Bani Hani, Karrar Abed Hammoodi, Yashar Aryanfar et al.
Environmental Engineering and Management Journal
Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
article

PREDICTING AIR POLLUTANTS IN URBAN ENVIRONMENTS USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK MODELS

Mamdouh El Haj Assad, Ehab Hussein Bani Hani, Karrar Abed Hammoodi, Yashar Aryanfar, Jorge Luis García-Alcaráz, Humberto García Castellanos, Abdallah Bouabidi, Ali Keçebaş, Shaban Mousavi Ghasemlou
article en

Abstract

Air quality monitoring plays a vital role in protecting human health and supporting environmental sustainability, especially in densely populated urban areas where anthropogenic activities intensify pollutant emissions.In this study, the concentrations of key air pollutants: PM10, CO, CO2, SO2, NO2, and O3 were assessed under diverse environmental and social conditions through the application of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN).Data were obtained from three major cities in Jordan, incorporating meteorological factors (wind speed, temperature, humidity) as well as socio-economic variables (population density and vehicular traffic).The ANN model was trained to predict pollutant concentrations based on these inputs, and its performance was evaluated using statistical indices.Among the analyzed pollutants, CO exhibited the strongest correlation with environmental parameters, achieving a mean squared error (MSE) of 7.2 10 3 and a correlation coefficient (R 2 ) approaching unity, thereby confirming the robustness of the model's predictive capacity.In contrast, pollutants such as NO2, O3, and PM10 demonstrated variable prediction accuracy, with PM10 presenting the weakest correlation, likely due to the complex and heterogeneous nature of particulate matter sources.The ANN-derived equations provide a computationally efficient tool for forecasting pollutant levels in urban areas where conventional monitoring networks are limited or resource-intensive.These findings underline the potential of ANN-based approaches to complement existing air quality management strategies and to serve as cost-effective predictive systems for realtime urban air pollution assessment.Future research should aim to refine the predictive capacity for pollutants with lower correlations by integrating additional explanatory variables, expanding the temporal and spatial datasets, and exploring hybrid modeling frameworks that combine ANN with other machine learning techniques.

Environmental Engineering and Management JournalVol. 24(8)
Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez (MX), University of Sharjah (AE), Australian University, Kuwait (KW)
Openalex Percentile: Top 75%
Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
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