Publics and UK parliamentarians underestimate the urgency of peaking global greenhouse gas emissions

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment reports treat politicians as recipients of information, but not as foci of research efforts. Moreover, academic research on politicians' knowledge concentrates on belief in climate change's anthropogenic cause. Little is known of how aware national parliamentarians are of key findings and policy recommendations from assessment reports. Here, we address this through a survey of 100 Members of Parliament in the United Kingdom on their knowledge of the well-publicised statement from the 6th assessment report of when global greenhouse emissions need to peak for a global temperature increase limit of 1.5 °C to be possible. Parliamentarians overwhelmingly overestimate the time period humanity has left to bend the temperature curve although partisan differences apply. Public surveys in Britain as well as Canada, Chile and Germany show similarly low knowledge, yet being younger, worried about climate change, and having lower levels of conspiracy belief mentality increase accuracy significantly.

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Publication Details

Journal
Communications Earth & Environment
Published
2025-10-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02655-w
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Climate Change Communication and Perception
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.20

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article

Publics and UK parliamentarians underestimate the urgency of peaking global greenhouse gas emissions

John Kenny, Lucas Geese
1 citations
Communications Earth & Environment
Climate Change Communication and Perception
4.20
article

Publics and UK parliamentarians underestimate the urgency of peaking global greenhouse gas emissions

John Kenny, Lucas Geese
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment reports treat politicians as recipients of information, but not as foci of research efforts. Moreover, academic research on politicians' knowledge concentrates on belief in climate change's anthropogenic cause. Little is known of how aware national parliamentarians are of key findings and policy recommendations from assessment reports. Here, we address this through a survey of 100 Members of Parliament in the United Kingdom on their knowledge of the well-publicised statement from the 6th assessment report of when global greenhouse emissions need to peak for a global temperature increase limit of 1.5 °C to be possible. Parliamentarians overwhelmingly overestimate the time period humanity has left to bend the temperature curve although partisan differences apply. Public surveys in Britain as well as Canada, Chile and Germany show similarly low knowledge, yet being younger, worried about climate change, and having lower levels of conspiracy belief mentality increase accuracy significantly.

Communications Earth & EnvironmentVol. 6(1)
University of East Anglia (GB), Tyndall Centre (GB)
Economic and Social Research Council
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Climate Change Communication and Perception
4.20
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Publics and UK parliamentarians underestimate the urgency of peaking global greenhouse gas emissions — John Kenny, Lucas Geese · Communications Earth & Environment (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS