Unfortunate Electoral Designs for Postconflict Democracies: Lessons from Dayton for the Western Balkans

This paper argues that the combination of electoral and institutional design in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) implemented by the Dayton Peace Agreement (DPA) – while intended to stabilize peace through consociational and territorial powersharing – paradoxically entrenches ethnopolitical divisions rather than fosters transformation. The use of open-list proportional representation (PR) electoral system and the Sainte-Laguë method for allocating legislative seats ensures political visibility of ethnic groups; however, simultaneous provision of reserved seats for politically relevant groups inhibits cross-ethnic political cohesion. As group-based identity politics and an integrative drift favoring majority groups prevails in BiH is often taken as given, this paper suggests that this specific combination of electoral rules and seat allocation hinder both meaningful accommodation and broader integration of minorities in electoral wards, despite emphasizing the need for minority visibility.<br/><br/>

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Publication Details

Journal
Nationalism and Ethnic Politics
Published
2025-10-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/13537113.2025.2557106
Primary Topic
Post-Soviet Geopolitical Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Unfortunate Electoral Designs for Postconflict Democracies: Lessons from Dayton for the Western Balkans

Henry Jarrett, Timofey Agarin
Nationalism and Ethnic Politics
Post-Soviet Geopolitical Dynamics
article

Unfortunate Electoral Designs for Postconflict Democracies: Lessons from Dayton for the Western Balkans

Henry Jarrett, Timofey Agarin
article en

Abstract

This paper argues that the combination of electoral and institutional design in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) implemented by the Dayton Peace Agreement (DPA) – while intended to stabilize peace through consociational and territorial powersharing – paradoxically entrenches ethnopolitical divisions rather than fosters transformation. The use of open-list proportional representation (PR) electoral system and the Sainte-Laguë method for allocating legislative seats ensures political visibility of ethnic groups; however, simultaneous provision of reserved seats for politically relevant groups inhibits cross-ethnic political cohesion. As group-based identity politics and an integrative drift favoring majority groups prevails in BiH is often taken as given, this paper suggests that this specific combination of electoral rules and seat allocation hinder both meaningful accommodation and broader integration of minorities in electoral wards, despite emphasizing the need for minority visibility.<br/><br/>

Nationalism and Ethnic PoliticsVol. 32(1)
Queen's University Belfast (GB), University of Exeter (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 68%
Post-Soviet Geopolitical Dynamics
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Unfortunate Electoral Designs for Postconflict Democracies: Lessons from Dayton for the Western Balkans — Henry Jarrett, Timofey Agarin · Nationalism and Ethnic Politics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS