Horizontal Wellbore Stability in the Production of Offshore Natural Gas Hydrates via Depressurization

Wellbore stability is a crucial factor affecting the safe exploitation of offshore natural gas hydrates. As a sustainable energy source, natural gas hydrate has significant reserves, high energy density, and low environmental impact, making it an important candidate for alternative energy. Although research on the stability of screen pipes during horizontal-well hydrate production is currently limited, its importance in sustainable energy extraction is growing. This study therefore considers the effects of hydrate phase change, gas–water seepage, energy and mass exchange, reservoir deformation, and screen pipe influence and develops a coupled thermal–fluid–solid–chemical field model for horizontal-well natural gas hydrate production. The model results were validated using experimental data and standard test cases from the literature. The results obtained by applying this model in COMSOL Multiphysics 6.1 showed that the errors in all simulations were less than 2%, with errors of 12% and 6% observed at effective stresses of 0.5 MPa and 3 MPa, respectively. The simulation results indicate that the presence of the screen pipe in the hydrate reservoir exerts little effect on the decomposition of gas hydrates, but it effectively mitigates stress concentration in the near-wellbore region, redistributing the effective stress and significantly reducing the instability risk of the hydrate reservoir. Furthermore, the distribution of mechanical parameters around the screen pipe is uneven, with maximum values of equivalent Mises stress, volumetric strain, and displacement generally occurring on the inner side of the screen pipe in the horizontal crustal stress direction, making plastic instability most likely to occur in this area. With other basic parameters held constant, the maximum equivalent Mises stress and the instability area within the screen increase with the rise in the production pressure drop and wellbore size, and the decrease in screen pipe thickness. The results of this study lay the foundation for wellbore instability control in the production of offshore natural gas hydrates via depressurization. The study provides new insights into sustainable energy extraction, as improving wellbore stability during the extraction process can enhance resource utilization, reduce environmental impact, and promote sustainable development in energy exploitation.