POTEC (Platelet Count, Oxygen Saturation, Time of CPR, Elective Surgery, and Initial ETCO2) Score for Predicting 24-h Survival After Perioperative Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation: Development and Validation

<b>Background</b>: Perioperative Cardiac Arrest (POCA) is a rare but catastrophic event with persistently low survival rates. Existing prediction models often fail to capture the perioperative context or predict short-term outcomes. This study aimed to develop and internally validate the POTEC (Platelet count, Oxygen saturation, Time of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), Elective surgery, and initial end-tidal carbon dioxide (ETCO<sub>2</sub>) Score, a simple clinical tool for predicting 24-h survival following perioperative CPR. <b>Methods</b>: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) who experienced POCA during or within two hours after non-cardiac surgery under anesthesia at a tertiary university hospital between 2010 and 2023. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors of 24-h survival. The final model's coefficients were used to construct the POTEC Score, which was internally validated using bootstrapping (1000 replications). <b>Results</b>: Of 321 eligible patients, 65 (20.25%) survived at 24-h. Five variables were independently associated with 24-h survival and included in the POTEC score: preoperative platelet count 100 × 10<sup>9</sup>/L, preoperative oxygen saturation of ≥90% on room air upon arrival in the operating room, CPR duration ≤30 min, elective surgery, and initial end-tidal CO<sub>2</sub> between 35 and 45 mmHg. The score demonstrated good discrimination (AuROC = 0.788, 95% CI: 0.73-0.85) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow <i>p</i> = 0.535). A score of 4 points or higher was associated with significantly higher odds of 24-h survival (adjusted OR = 2.78, 95% CI: 2.05-3.79). Model optimism was minimal (0.009) after bootstrapping. <b>Conclusions</b>: The POTEC Score is a clinically practical tool for early risk stratification in patients undergoing perioperative CPR. Its integration into perioperative workflows may aid in timely decision-making and resource prioritization during critical postoperative care.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Clinical Medicine
Published
2025-09-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14196915
Primary Topic
Cardiac Arrest and Resuscitation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

POTEC (Platelet Count, Oxygen Saturation, Time of CPR, Elective Surgery, and Initial ETCO2) Score for Predicting 24-h Survival After Perioperative Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation: Development and Validation

Prangmalee Leurcharusmee, Tanyong Pipanmekaporn, Jiraporn Khorana, Visith Siriphuwanun et al.
Journal of Clinical Medicine
Cardiac Arrest and Resuscitation
article

POTEC (Platelet Count, Oxygen Saturation, Time of CPR, Elective Surgery, and Initial ETCO2) Score for Predicting 24-h Survival After Perioperative Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation: Development and Validation

Prangmalee Leurcharusmee, Tanyong Pipanmekaporn, Jiraporn Khorana, Visith Siriphuwanun, Soontarin Chungsaengsatitayaporn, Settapong Boonsri
article en

Abstract

<b>Background</b>: Perioperative Cardiac Arrest (POCA) is a rare but catastrophic event with persistently low survival rates. Existing prediction models often fail to capture the perioperative context or predict short-term outcomes. This study aimed to develop and internally validate the POTEC (Platelet count, Oxygen saturation, Time of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), Elective surgery, and initial end-tidal carbon dioxide (ETCO<sub>2</sub>) Score, a simple clinical tool for predicting 24-h survival following perioperative CPR. <b>Methods</b>: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) who experienced POCA during or within two hours after non-cardiac surgery under anesthesia at a tertiary university hospital between 2010 and 2023. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors of 24-h survival. The final model's coefficients were used to construct the POTEC Score, which was internally validated using bootstrapping (1000 replications). <b>Results</b>: Of 321 eligible patients, 65 (20.25%) survived at 24-h. Five variables were independently associated with 24-h survival and included in the POTEC score: preoperative platelet count 100 × 10<sup>9</sup>/L, preoperative oxygen saturation of ≥90% on room air upon arrival in the operating room, CPR duration ≤30 min, elective surgery, and initial end-tidal CO<sub>2</sub> between 35 and 45 mmHg. The score demonstrated good discrimination (AuROC = 0.788, 95% CI: 0.73-0.85) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow <i>p</i> = 0.535). A score of 4 points or higher was associated with significantly higher odds of 24-h survival (adjusted OR = 2.78, 95% CI: 2.05-3.79). Model optimism was minimal (0.009) after bootstrapping. <b>Conclusions</b>: The POTEC Score is a clinically practical tool for early risk stratification in patients undergoing perioperative CPR. Its integration into perioperative workflows may aid in timely decision-making and resource prioritization during critical postoperative care.

Journal of Clinical MedicineVol. 14(19)
Chiang Mai University (TH)
Chiang Mai University, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University
Openalex Percentile: Top 60%
Cardiac Arrest and Resuscitation
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