A Smart Evolving Fuzzy Predictor with Customized Firefly Optimization for Battery RUL Prediction

Accurate prediction of system degradation and remaining useful life (RUL) is essential for reliable health monitoring of Lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries, as well as other dynamic systems. While evolving systems can offer adequate adaptability to the nonstationary and nonlinear behavior of battery degradation, existing methods often face challenges such as uncontrolled rule growth, limited adaptability, and reduced accuracy under noisy conditions. To address these limitations, this paper presents a smart evolving fuzzy predictor with customized firefly optimization (SEFP-FO) to provide a better solution for battery RUL prediction. The proposed SEFP-FO technique introduces two main contributions: (1) An activation- and distance-aware penalization strategy is proposed to govern rule evolution by evaluating the structural relevance of incoming data. This mechanism can control rule growth while maintaining model convergence. (2) A customized firefly algorithm is suggested to optimize the antecedent parameters of newly generated fuzzy rules, thereby enhancing prediction accuracy and improving the predictor’s adaptive capability to time-varying system conditions. The effectiveness of the proposed SEFP-FO technique is first validated by simulation using nonlinear benchmark datasets, which is then applied to Li-ion battery RUL predictions.