Machine Learning for Wind Power Forecasting Under Data Scarcity: Comparing Spatial Feature Configurations and Selection Strategies

Accurate wind power forecasting is essential for integrating renewable energy into power grids, especially under limited data availability. This work introduces a spatially distributed grid-based approach to construct meteorological features, proposing valid alternatives to previous methods that used province-level data in data-scarce scenarios. Using Random Forest and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) models, we evaluate feature importance and demonstrate that including the previous hour's power output notably improves prediction accuracy. Additionally, feature selection significantly reduces computational costs and data requirements while maintaining strong performance.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-07-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/eeeic/icpseurope64998.2025.11169112
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Machine Learning for Wind Power Forecasting Under Data Scarcity: Comparing Spatial Feature Configurations and Selection Strategies

Dimitri Thomopulos, Marco Raugi, Mauro Tucci, Antonio Piazzi
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Machine Learning for Wind Power Forecasting Under Data Scarcity: Comparing Spatial Feature Configurations and Selection Strategies

Dimitri Thomopulos, Marco Raugi, Mauro Tucci, Antonio Piazzi
article en

Abstract

Accurate wind power forecasting is essential for integrating renewable energy into power grids, especially under limited data availability. This work introduces a spatially distributed grid-based approach to construct meteorological features, proposing valid alternatives to previous methods that used province-level data in data-scarce scenarios. Using Random Forest and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) models, we evaluate feature importance and demonstrate that including the previous hour's power output notably improves prediction accuracy. Additionally, feature selection significantly reduces computational costs and data requirements while maintaining strong performance.

University of Pisa (IT), Ospedale di Livorno (IT)
Openalex Percentile: Top 73%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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