<scp>EV</scp> Charging Load Forecasting Based on Improved <scp>SOM</scp> Clustering and <scp>ECA</scp> ‐ <scp>LSTM</scp> ‐ <scp>SA</scp> Model

With the rapid increase in the number of electric vehicles (EVs), the surge in stochastic EV charging loads poses significant challenges to the secure and stable operation of distribution networks. To address this issue, accurate EV charging load forecasting is crucial. This paper proposes a novel EV charging load forecasting method based on an improved self‐organizing map (ISOM) clustering algorithm and an ECA‐LSTM‐SA model. First, an ISOM clustering algorithm is developed, which takes load values at different time instants as inputs, employs cosine similarity as the distance metric, and utilizes particle swarm optimization (PSO) to determine hyperparameters. This clustering method is used to segment charging loads into similar daily patterns. Then, an ECA‐LSTM‐SA forecasting model is constructed by integrating efficient channel attention (ECA) and soft attention (SA) mechanisms with long short‐term memory (LSTM) networks to enhance feature extraction and prediction accuracy. The model is trained and used for forecasting within each clustered dataset. Finally, the prediction results from all clusters are concatenated to obtain the final forecasted charging load. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method significantly improves prediction accuracy and stability. © 2025 The Author(s). IEEJ Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Engineering published by Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan and Wiley Periodicals LLC.

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Publication Details

Journal
IEEJ Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Published
2025-09-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/tee.70131
Primary Topic
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
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article
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article

EV Charging Load Forecasting Based on Improved SOM Clustering and ECA ‐ LSTM ‐ SA Model

Shan Gao, Jinyang Li, Maosheng Xu
IEEJ Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
article

EV Charging Load Forecasting Based on Improved SOM Clustering and ECA ‐ LSTM ‐ SA Model

Shan Gao, Jinyang Li, Maosheng Xu
article en

Abstract

With the rapid increase in the number of electric vehicles (EVs), the surge in stochastic EV charging loads poses significant challenges to the secure and stable operation of distribution networks. To address this issue, accurate EV charging load forecasting is crucial. This paper proposes a novel EV charging load forecasting method based on an improved self‐organizing map (ISOM) clustering algorithm and an ECA‐LSTM‐SA model. First, an ISOM clustering algorithm is developed, which takes load values at different time instants as inputs, employs cosine similarity as the distance metric, and utilizes particle swarm optimization (PSO) to determine hyperparameters. This clustering method is used to segment charging loads into similar daily patterns. Then, an ECA‐LSTM‐SA forecasting model is constructed by integrating efficient channel attention (ECA) and soft attention (SA) mechanisms with long short‐term memory (LSTM) networks to enhance feature extraction and prediction accuracy. The model is trained and used for forecasting within each clustered dataset. Finally, the prediction results from all clusters are concatenated to obtain the final forecasted charging load. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method significantly improves prediction accuracy and stability. © 2025 The Author(s). IEEJ Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Engineering published by Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan and Wiley Periodicals LLC.

IEEJ Transactions on Electrical and Electronic EngineeringVol. 21(1)
Southeast University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 74%
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
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