Targeted Advertising in Elections

How does targeted advertising influence electoral outcomes? This paper presents a one-dimensional spatial model of voting in which a privately informed challenger persuades voters to support him over the status quo. I show that targeted advertising enables the challenger to persuade voters with opposing preferences and swing elections decided by such voters. Ex ante commitment power is unnecessary—the challenger succeeds by strategically revealing different pieces of verifiable information to different voters. Publicizing all political ads would mitigate the negative effects of targeted advertising and help voters collectively make the right choice. (JEL D72, D82, D83, M37)

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
American Economic Journal Microeconomics
Published
2026-10-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1257/mic.20240479
Primary Topic
Game Theory and Voting Systems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Targeted Advertising in Elections

American Economic Journal Microeconomics
Game Theory and Voting Systems
article

Targeted Advertising in Elections

article en

Abstract

How does targeted advertising influence electoral outcomes? This paper presents a one-dimensional spatial model of voting in which a privately informed challenger persuades voters to support him over the status quo. I show that targeted advertising enables the challenger to persuade voters with opposing preferences and swing elections decided by such voters. Ex ante commitment power is unnecessary—the challenger succeeds by strategically revealing different pieces of verifiable information to different voters. Publicizing all political ads would mitigate the negative effects of targeted advertising and help voters collectively make the right choice. (JEL D72, D82, D83, M37)

American Economic Journal MicroeconomicsVol. 18(4)
Vanderbilt University (US)
Peace, justice, and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 99%
Game Theory and Voting Systems
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