Analyzing German Refugee Policy from the Perspective of Double-Layer Games

This study aims to analyze Germany's refugee policy in depth. The purpose of this study is to analyze the German refugee policy in depth, and to comprehensively analyze the complex mechanisms in the process of policy formulation and implementation by applying the two-layer game theory. The two-layer game theory divides the policy process into domestic and international levels, which helps to reveal the multiple dilemmas faced by Germany's refugee policy. At the domestic level, factors such as political party competition, public opinion shifts, and competition between federal and state power are intertwined, affecting the stability and implementation of the policy; at the international level, the responsibility sharing under the EU system, security and anti-terrorism pressures, and geo-strategic situation have put Germany's refugee policy in the predicament of internal and external attacks. Through this study, it is found that the solution to the German refugee problem needs to be synergized at both the domestic and international levels, including the paths of reconciling political differences, curbing the expansion of extreme right-wing forces, optimizing the efficiency of the integration policy, as well as reconfiguring the EU's responsibility sharing mechanism, regulating the legal boundaries of cooperation with third countries, and strengthening the diplomatic synergies of source-based governance, with a view to providing useful references for the solution to the refugee problem in Germany and the world.