Warm-Season Precipitation in the Eastern Pamir Plateau: Evaluation from Multi-Source Datasets and Elevation Dependence

As the Pamir Plateau is known as the “Water Tower of Central Asia”, accurate precipitation dataset is essential for the study of climate and hydrology in this region. Based on the monthly precipitation observations from 268 meteorological stations in the Eastern Pamir Plateau (EPP) during the April-to-September warm season of 2010–2024, this paper comprehensively evaluates the applicability of eight multi-source precipitation datasets in complex terrains by using statistical indicators, constructs a skill-weighted ensemble mean dataset (Skill-Ens), and analyzes the elevation-dependent characteristics of precipitation in the EPP. The research findings are as follows: (1) The warm-season precipitation in the EPP shows a significant elevation-dependent feature, with the maximum precipitation altitude (MPA) in the range of 2400–2800 m. Precipitation is reduced above this elevation range, but a second MPA may appear in the glacier area above 4000 m. (2) Among the studied eight datasets, the first-generation Chinese Global Land-surface Reanalysis (CRA40/Land) performs the best overall. A long-term (1979–2020) high-resolution (1/30°) precipitation dataset for the Third Pole region (TPHiPr) can most accurately capture the elevation-dependent characteristics of precipitation, while the satellite datasets are relatively poor in this respect. (3) The skill-weighted ensemble mean dataset (Skill-Ens) constructed in this study can significantly improve precipitation estimation (DISO = 0.35), especially in the MPA region, and can accurately depict the elevation-dependent characteristics of precipitation as well (CC = 0.92). In a word, this paper provides the applicable options for precipitation data in complex terrain areas. With the Skill-Ens, the limitation of the individual dataset has been compensated for, which is of significant application value in improving the accuracy of hydrological simulations in high-elevation mountainous areas.