A Physics-Enhanced CNN–LSTM Predictive Condition Monitoring Method for Underground Power Cable Infrastructure

Underground high-voltage transmission cables, especially high-pressure fluid-filled (HPFF) pipe-type cable systems, are critical components of urban power networks. These systems consist of insulated conductor cables housed within steel pipes filled with pressurized fluids that provide essential insulation and cooling. Despite their reliability, HPFF cables experience faults caused by insulation degradation, thermal expansion, and environmental stressors, which, due to their subtle and gradual nature, complicate incipient fault detection and subsequent fault localization. This study presents a novel, proactive, and retrofit-friendly predictive condition monitoring method. It leverages distributed accelerometer sensors non-intrusively mounted on the HPFF steel pipe within existing manholes to continuously monitor vibration signals in real time. A physics-enhanced convolutional neural network–long short-term memory (CNN–LSTM) deep learning architecture analyzes these signals to detect incipient faults before they evolve into critical failures. The CNN–LSTM model captures temporal dependencies in acoustic data streams, applying time-series analysis techniques tailored for the predictive condition monitoring of HPFF cables. Experimental validation uses vibration data from a scaled-down HPFF laboratory test setup, comparing normal operation to incipient fault events. The model reliably identifies subtle changes in sequential acoustic patterns indicative of incipient faults. Laboratory experimental results demonstrate a high accuracy of the physics-enhanced CNN–LSTM architecture for incipient fault detection with effective data feature extraction. This approach aims to support enhanced operational resilience and faster response times without intrusive infrastructure modifications, facilitating early intervention to mitigate service disruptions.