Predict and Estimate the Current Stock Prices with Popular Machine Learning Algorithms

It is a challenging task to correctly and accurately predict and estimate the stock prices to get the maximum profit in the current market, and it is also critically important for all financial institutions to obtain the optimal stock prices under the current fluctuation situation. In this study, we use different machine learning (ML) algorithms, such as random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), decision regression trees (DRT), and nonlinear regression (NR), to easily and correctly predict and estimate the current and future possible stock prices based on the historical stock data. By using some appropriate pre-data-processing techniques, the current stock prices could be accurately and quickly estimated via those models. In this research, different ML algorithms are designed and built to help decision makers working in the financial institutions to easily and conveniently predict the current stock prices. A comparison among different ML algorithms is performed to get the optimal one for the stock prices predictions. The minimum training and checking RMSE values for RF and DRT models can be accurate to 0.010 and 0.012.

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Publication Details

Journal
Financial Engineering
Published
2025-09-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.37394/232032.2025.3.35
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Predict and Estimate the Current Stock Prices with Popular Machine Learning Algorithms

Ying Bai, Dali Wang
Financial Engineering
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

Predict and Estimate the Current Stock Prices with Popular Machine Learning Algorithms

Ying Bai, Dali Wang
article en

Abstract

It is a challenging task to correctly and accurately predict and estimate the stock prices to get the maximum profit in the current market, and it is also critically important for all financial institutions to obtain the optimal stock prices under the current fluctuation situation. In this study, we use different machine learning (ML) algorithms, such as random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), decision regression trees (DRT), and nonlinear regression (NR), to easily and correctly predict and estimate the current and future possible stock prices based on the historical stock data. By using some appropriate pre-data-processing techniques, the current stock prices could be accurately and quickly estimated via those models. In this research, different ML algorithms are designed and built to help decision makers working in the financial institutions to easily and conveniently predict the current stock prices. A comparison among different ML algorithms is performed to get the optimal one for the stock prices predictions. The minimum training and checking RMSE values for RF and DRT models can be accurate to 0.010 and 0.012.

Financial EngineeringVol. 3
Johnson C. Smith University (US), Christopher Newport University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 69%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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Predict and Estimate the Current Stock Prices with Popular Machine Learning Algorithms — Ying Bai, Dali Wang · Financial Engineering (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS