A climatology of meteorological droughts in New England, Australia, 1880–2022

From 2017 to 2019, vast swathes of eastern Australia were affected by the severe and devastating Tinderbox Drought. Here, we present the first extended drought climatology for New England, spanning 1880 to 2022, and explore trends in drought characteristics over the past 142 years. We use newly recovered historical temperature and rainfall observations, the latest version of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology’s gridded rainfall dataset and a global gridded extreme dataset to assess changes in precipitation signatures and temperature events during droughts. Our analysis identifies 32 meteorological droughts from 1880 to 2022, lasting from 7 months to over 7 years. The climatology also reveals a change in the nature of drought, with a shift from events characterised by warm season rainfall deficiencies to events with greater rainfall reduction in the cool half of the year. Despite this shift, we also find a significant decrease in the number of cold extremes occurring during droughts, and an increase in hot extremes. Droughts in New England have been associated with a greater than average frequency of cold nights and frost days, but this relationship has weakened over recent decades. Conversely, they are generally associated with a greater than average frequency of hot days, a relationship that has increased over time. The Tinderbox Drought was the second-most extreme meteorological drought for New England in terms of rainfall deficit and drought severity, and was associated with the highest number of extreme warm temperature events. The new drought climatology for New England can now be used to provide regional drought information for decision makers and the community.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth System Science
Published
2025-09-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1071/es25013
Primary Topic
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A climatology of meteorological droughts in New England, Australia, 1880–2022

Linden Ashcroft, Mathilde Ritman, Gionni di Gravio, Ken Thornton et al.
Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth System Science
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
article

A climatology of meteorological droughts in New England, Australia, 1880–2022

Linden Ashcroft, Mathilde Ritman, Gionni di Gravio, Ken Thornton, W.A. Oates, Howard Bridgman, Richard Belfield, Elspeth Belfield
article en

Abstract

From 2017 to 2019, vast swathes of eastern Australia were affected by the severe and devastating Tinderbox Drought. Here, we present the first extended drought climatology for New England, spanning 1880 to 2022, and explore trends in drought characteristics over the past 142 years. We use newly recovered historical temperature and rainfall observations, the latest version of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology’s gridded rainfall dataset and a global gridded extreme dataset to assess changes in precipitation signatures and temperature events during droughts. Our analysis identifies 32 meteorological droughts from 1880 to 2022, lasting from 7 months to over 7 years. The climatology also reveals a change in the nature of drought, with a shift from events characterised by warm season rainfall deficiencies to events with greater rainfall reduction in the cool half of the year. Despite this shift, we also find a significant decrease in the number of cold extremes occurring during droughts, and an increase in hot extremes. Droughts in New England have been associated with a greater than average frequency of cold nights and frost days, but this relationship has weakened over recent decades. Conversely, they are generally associated with a greater than average frequency of hot days, a relationship that has increased over time. The Tinderbox Drought was the second-most extreme meteorological drought for New England in terms of rainfall deficit and drought severity, and was associated with the highest number of extreme warm temperature events. The new drought climatology for New England can now be used to provide regional drought information for decision makers and the community.

Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth System ScienceVol. 75(3)
Planetary Science Institute (US), Australian Research Council (AU), The University of Melbourne (AU), Human Growth Foundation (US), University of Newcastle Australia (AU), RMIT University (AU), University of New England (AU)
National Computational Infrastructure, University of New England, University of Melbourne, Climate Extremes
Openalex Percentile: Top 75%
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
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