Comparison of Machine Learning Performance with TIMI and GRACE Score for Cardiovascular Risk Prediction in Acute Coronary Syndrome: Meta-Analysis

Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS) risk stratification relies on TIMI and GRACE scores, which lack accuracy for individual-level predictions. Machine Learning (ML) offers promising alternatives but faces challenges in interpretability and clinical adoption. This meta-analysis compares ML models (DNN, XGBoost, Random Forest, GBDT, SVM) with TIMI/GRACE scores in predicting cardiovascular events, while addressing implementation barriers. Following PRISMA guidelines, we analyzed 50 studies (1,592,034 patients) from PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science (2015–2025). Performance metrics (AUC, sensitivity, specificity) were pooled using random-effects models, and publication bias was assessed via funnel plots. ML models significantly outperformed conventional scores, with Random Forest (AUC=0.99), XGBoost (AUC=0.98), and DNN (sensitivity=99%) demonstrating superior discrimination. However, heterogeneity in validation (e.g., Asian vs. European cohorts) and "black-box" limitations were identified. The study advocates for explainable AI, multi-center validation, and clinician training to facilitate ML integration into Electronic Health Records (EHRs). These steps could establish ML as the new standard in ACS care, improving outcomes while reducing healthcare costs.

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Publication Details

Journal
Jurnal Health Sains
Published
2025-05-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.46799/jhs.v6i4.2438
Primary Topic
Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
Type
article
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article

Comparison of Machine Learning Performance with TIMI and GRACE Score for Cardiovascular Risk Prediction in Acute Coronary Syndrome: Meta-Analysis

Rismala Dewi, Izdiharti Noni Pertiwi
Jurnal Health Sains
Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
article

Comparison of Machine Learning Performance with TIMI and GRACE Score for Cardiovascular Risk Prediction in Acute Coronary Syndrome: Meta-Analysis

Rismala Dewi, Izdiharti Noni Pertiwi
article en

Abstract

Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS) risk stratification relies on TIMI and GRACE scores, which lack accuracy for individual-level predictions. Machine Learning (ML) offers promising alternatives but faces challenges in interpretability and clinical adoption. This meta-analysis compares ML models (DNN, XGBoost, Random Forest, GBDT, SVM) with TIMI/GRACE scores in predicting cardiovascular events, while addressing implementation barriers. Following PRISMA guidelines, we analyzed 50 studies (1,592,034 patients) from PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science (2015–2025). Performance metrics (AUC, sensitivity, specificity) were pooled using random-effects models, and publication bias was assessed via funnel plots. ML models significantly outperformed conventional scores, with Random Forest (AUC=0.99), XGBoost (AUC=0.98), and DNN (sensitivity=99%) demonstrating superior discrimination. However, heterogeneity in validation (e.g., Asian vs. European cohorts) and "black-box" limitations were identified. The study advocates for explainable AI, multi-center validation, and clinician training to facilitate ML integration into Electronic Health Records (EHRs). These steps could establish ML as the new standard in ACS care, improving outcomes while reducing healthcare costs.

Jurnal Health SainsVol. 6(4)
Red de Investigación en Sida (ES), Hospital Universitario de León (ES)
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
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