Trends in international assessments and outcomes in adulthood

International assessments such as PISA and TIMSS are widely used to compare the academic proficiency of adolescents across countries and over time. Are scores on these assessments associated with outcomes in adulthood? Combining data from mathematics scores in PISA, TIMSS, and PIAAC, and adulthood outcomes from 18 representative global surveys, I compare the relative associations of PISA and TIMSS scores with later outcomes among cohorts that took both tests during adolescence. Results suggest that cohorts with higher test scores perform better on assessments of adulthood skills, obtain higher levels of education, and have higher incomes as adults. I find suggestive evidence that PISA scores exhibit a relatively stronger relationship with education and income in adulthood compared to TIMSS scores.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Economics of Education Review
Published
2025-09-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2025.102720
Primary Topic
Youth Education and Societal Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Trends in international assessments and outcomes in adulthood

Samuel Stemper
Economics of Education Review
Youth Education and Societal Dynamics
article

Trends in international assessments and outcomes in adulthood

Samuel Stemper
article en

Abstract

International assessments such as PISA and TIMSS are widely used to compare the academic proficiency of adolescents across countries and over time. Are scores on these assessments associated with outcomes in adulthood? Combining data from mathematics scores in PISA, TIMSS, and PIAAC, and adulthood outcomes from 18 representative global surveys, I compare the relative associations of PISA and TIMSS scores with later outcomes among cohorts that took both tests during adolescence. Results suggest that cohorts with higher test scores perform better on assessments of adulthood skills, obtain higher levels of education, and have higher incomes as adults. I find suggestive evidence that PISA scores exhibit a relatively stronger relationship with education and income in adulthood compared to TIMSS scores.

Economics of Education ReviewVol. 109
University of Auckland (NZ)
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Youth Education and Societal Dynamics
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.