Artificial intelligence and inflation in the EU

• We examine the impact of sectoral AI adoption on inflation in EU countries. • We use a novel Eurostat dataset on AI use in manufacturing and services in 2024. • The AI use is associated with modest but non-negligible changes of producer prices. • We discuss the nonlinearity patterns of inflation determinants. We investigate the influence of artificial intelligence adoption on producer price inflation across economic sectors within the European Union. We show that AI diffusion is associated with reduced inflationary pressures, with effects most statistically significant in services and the Eurozone. A ten–percentage-point increase in the share of firms employing AI corresponds, on average, to a 0.3–0.6 percentage-point decline in inflation. The association between AI adoption and inflation is nonlinear. The deflationary impact on prices is more pronounced in AI-intensive sectors. Overall, the findings suggest that the integration of AI technologies constitutes a structural force dampening inflation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Economics Letters
Published
2025-09-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112638
Primary Topic
Economic Growth and Productivity
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Artificial intelligence and inflation in the EU

Jarko Fidrmuc, Krystian Jaworski, Jakub Borowski
Economics Letters
Economic Growth and Productivity
article

Artificial intelligence and inflation in the EU

Jarko Fidrmuc, Krystian Jaworski, Jakub Borowski
article en

Abstract

• We examine the impact of sectoral AI adoption on inflation in EU countries. • We use a novel Eurostat dataset on AI use in manufacturing and services in 2024. • The AI use is associated with modest but non-negligible changes of producer prices. • We discuss the nonlinearity patterns of inflation determinants. We investigate the influence of artificial intelligence adoption on producer price inflation across economic sectors within the European Union. We show that AI diffusion is associated with reduced inflationary pressures, with effects most statistically significant in services and the Eurozone. A ten–percentage-point increase in the share of firms employing AI corresponds, on average, to a 0.3–0.6 percentage-point decline in inflation. The association between AI adoption and inflation is nonlinear. The deflationary impact on prices is more pronounced in AI-intensive sectors. Overall, the findings suggest that the integration of AI technologies constitutes a structural force dampening inflation.

Economics LettersVol. 257
Zeppelin Universität gemeinnützige GmbH (DE), SGH Warsaw School of Economics (PL), Slovak Academy of Sciences (SK), Institute of Economic Research of the Slovak Academy of Sciences (SK), Mendel University in Brno (CZ)
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Economic Growth and Productivity
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