A Deep Learning-Based Ensemble Method for Parameter Estimation of Solar Cells Using a Three-Diode Model

Accurate parameter estimation of solar cells is critical for early-stage fault diagnosis in photovoltaic (PV) power systems. A physical model based on three-diode configuration has been recently introduced to improve model accuracy. However, nonlinear and recursive relationships between internal parameters and PV output, along with parameter drift and PV degradation due to long-term operation, pose significant challenges. To address these issues, this study proposes a deep learning-based ensemble framework that integrates outputs from multiple optimization algorithms to improve estimation precision and robustness. The proposed method consists of three stages. First, the collected data were preprocessed using some data processing techniques. Second, a PV power generation system is modeled using the three-diode structure. Third, several optimization algorithms with distinct search behaviors are employed to produce diverse estimations. Finally, a hybrid deep learning model combining convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks is used to learn from these results. Experimental validation on a 733 kW PV power generation system demonstrates that the proposed method outperforms individual optimization approaches in terms of prediction accuracy and stability.