A Fair Assessment of Sea Ice Age Reduces Bias and Gives New Insight to Arctic Sea Ice Dynamics

Abstract The rapid Arctic warming in the early 2000s triggered a tremendous loss of multi‐year sea ice. Since then, sea ice age has been largely overlooked, despite its value in evaluating climate model skill in capturing sea ice dynamics. Comparing modeled sea‐ice age with observations is limited by differing methods for determining age, making fair comparison difficult. Here, we apply an ice‐tracking algorithm to diagnose sea ice age from daily concentration and drift data in a climate model and compare it to satellite‐derived estimates using the same method. We show that the derived sea ice age retains the spatial pattern and long‐term trends of the reported model age, but with less than half the bias. Changes in sea‐ice age highlight shifts in sea‐ice dynamics more clearly than thickness or volume. This shows that using a common algorithm enables both a fair model validation and improves insight into sea‐ice dynamics.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2025-09-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl117765
Primary Topic
Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

A Fair Assessment of Sea Ice Age Reduces Bias and Gives New Insight to Arctic Sea Ice Dynamics

Anton Korosov, Jakob Dörr, Richard Davy, Einar Ólason et al.
Geophysical Research Letters
Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
article

A Fair Assessment of Sea Ice Age Reduces Bias and Gives New Insight to Arctic Sea Ice Dynamics

Anton Korosov, Jakob Dörr, Richard Davy, Einar Ólason, Philipp Griewank, Heather Regan
article en

Abstract

Abstract The rapid Arctic warming in the early 2000s triggered a tremendous loss of multi‐year sea ice. Since then, sea ice age has been largely overlooked, despite its value in evaluating climate model skill in capturing sea ice dynamics. Comparing modeled sea‐ice age with observations is limited by differing methods for determining age, making fair comparison difficult. Here, we apply an ice‐tracking algorithm to diagnose sea ice age from daily concentration and drift data in a climate model and compare it to satellite‐derived estimates using the same method. We show that the derived sea ice age retains the spatial pattern and long‐term trends of the reported model age, but with less than half the bias. Changes in sea‐ice age highlight shifts in sea‐ice dynamics more clearly than thickness or volume. This shows that using a common algorithm enables both a fair model validation and improves insight into sea‐ice dynamics.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 52(18)
University of Vienna (AT), Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research (NO), University of Bergen (NO)
European Space Agency, European Commission, Norges Forskningsråd, HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme
Openalex Percentile: Top 69%
Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
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A Fair Assessment of Sea Ice Age Reduces Bias and Gives New Insight to Arctic Sea Ice Dynamics — Anton Korosov, Jakob Dörr, et al. · Geophysical Research Letters (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS