Sub-Poisson Distributions: Concentration Inequalities, Optimal Variance Proxies, and Closure Properties

Abstract We introduce a nonasymptotic framework for sub-Poisson distributions with moment generating function dominated by that of a Poisson distribution. At its core is a new notion of optimal sub-Poisson variance proxy, analogous to the variance parameter in the sub-Gaussian setting. This framework allows us to derive a Bennett-type concentration inequality without boundedness assumptions and to show that the sub-Poisson property is closed under key operations including independent sums and convex combinations, but not under all linear operations such as scalar multiplication. We derive bounds relating the sub-Poisson variance proxy to sub-Gaussian and sub-exponential Orlicz norms. Taken together, these results unify the treatment of Bernoulli and Poisson random variables and their signed versions in their natural tail regime.

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Publication Details

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Sankhya A
Published
2026-07-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13171-026-00444-x
Primary Topic
Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Sub-Poisson Distributions: Concentration Inequalities, Optimal Variance Proxies, and Closure Properties

Lasse Leskelä, Ian Välimaa
Sankhya A
Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
article

Sub-Poisson Distributions: Concentration Inequalities, Optimal Variance Proxies, and Closure Properties

Lasse Leskelä, Ian Välimaa
article en

Abstract

Abstract We introduce a nonasymptotic framework for sub-Poisson distributions with moment generating function dominated by that of a Poisson distribution. At its core is a new notion of optimal sub-Poisson variance proxy, analogous to the variance parameter in the sub-Gaussian setting. This framework allows us to derive a Bennett-type concentration inequality without boundedness assumptions and to show that the sub-Poisson property is closed under key operations including independent sums and convex combinations, but not under all linear operations such as scalar multiplication. We derive bounds relating the sub-Poisson variance proxy to sub-Gaussian and sub-exponential Orlicz norms. Taken together, these results unify the treatment of Bernoulli and Poisson random variables and their signed versions in their natural tail regime.

Sankhya A
Aalto University (FI)
Aalto-Yliopisto, Emil Aaltosen Säätiö
Openalex Percentile: Top 99%
Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
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