gammapy_SyLC A Package for Simulating and Fitting Variability in High-Energy Light Curves

This contribution introduces gammapy$\_$SyLC, an open-source Python package designed for time-domain analysis of gamma-ray light curves, with applications to AGNs. SyLC enables synthetic light curve generation with controlled variability properties using the Timmer-Koenig and Emmanoulopoulos algorithms. It also implements statistical tools for characterizing time series properties through power spectral density (PSD) reconstruction, flux amplitude distribution fitting, and Monte Carlo-based uncertainty estimation. A key feature of the package is the computation of confidence envelopes for periodograms, providing a simple assessment of deviations from stochastic processes. This tool is also the basis of the PSD fitting framework, which incorporates a Poissonian white noise component. For flux amplitude distributions, SyLC implements likelihood-based model selection techniques to compare skewed PDF distributions between each other and with Gaussian scenarios. The package quantifies model preference using likelihood ratio tests, aiding in the distinction between different variability regimes. The tools were tested on a sample of light curves of AGNs published in the Fermi-LAT LCR, including BL Lac, Markarian 421, and Markarian 501, to illustrate their capabilities. Results highlight the effectiveness of the package in PSD fitting and the challenges of amplitude distribution modeling. This contribution will provide an overview of the package's core algorithms, its statistical foundations, and its potential for future time-domain astrophysical studies.

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Published
2025-09-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.22323/1.501.0651
Primary Topic
Gamma-ray bursts and supernovae
Type
article
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article

gammapy_SyLC A Package for Simulating and Fitting Variability in High-Energy Light Curves

Claudio Galelli
Gamma-ray bursts and supernovae
article

gammapy_SyLC A Package for Simulating and Fitting Variability in High-Energy Light Curves

Claudio Galelli
article en

Abstract

This contribution introduces gammapy$\_$SyLC, an open-source Python package designed for time-domain analysis of gamma-ray light curves, with applications to AGNs. SyLC enables synthetic light curve generation with controlled variability properties using the Timmer-Koenig and Emmanoulopoulos algorithms. It also implements statistical tools for characterizing time series properties through power spectral density (PSD) reconstruction, flux amplitude distribution fitting, and Monte Carlo-based uncertainty estimation. A key feature of the package is the computation of confidence envelopes for periodograms, providing a simple assessment of deviations from stochastic processes. This tool is also the basis of the PSD fitting framework, which incorporates a Poissonian white noise component. For flux amplitude distributions, SyLC implements likelihood-based model selection techniques to compare skewed PDF distributions between each other and with Gaussian scenarios. The package quantifies model preference using likelihood ratio tests, aiding in the distinction between different variability regimes. The tools were tested on a sample of light curves of AGNs published in the Fermi-LAT LCR, including BL Lac, Markarian 421, and Markarian 501, to illustrate their capabilities. Results highlight the effectiveness of the package in PSD fitting and the challenges of amplitude distribution modeling. This contribution will provide an overview of the package's core algorithms, its statistical foundations, and its potential for future time-domain astrophysical studies.

Observatoire de Paris (FR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 82%
Gamma-ray bursts and supernovae
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gammapy_SyLC A Package for Simulating and Fitting Variability in High-Energy Light Curves — Claudio Galelli · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS