Quantum Risk Analysis: Beyond (Conditional) Value-at-Risk

Risk measures are important key figures to measure the adequacy of the reserves of a company. The most common risk measures in practice are Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). Recently, quantum-based algorithms are introduced to calculate them. These procedures are based on the so-called quantum amplitude estimation algorithm, which leads to a quadratic speed-up compared to classical Monte-Carlo based methods. Based on these ideas, we construct quantum-based algorithms to calculate alternatives for VaR and CVaR, namely the Expectile Value-at-Risk (EVaR) and the Range Value-at-Risk (RVaR). These algorithms are also based on quantum amplitude estimation. In two case studies, we compare their performance with the quantum-based algorithms for VaR and CVaR. We find that all of the algorithms perform sufficiently well on a quantum simulator. Further, the calculations of EVaR and VaR are robust against noise on a real quantum device. This is not the case for CVaR and RVaR.

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Publication Details

Journal
Quantum Economics and Finance
Published
2025-09-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/29767032251377083
Primary Topic
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Quantum Risk Analysis: Beyond (Conditional) Value-at-Risk

Christian Laudagé, Ivica Turkalj
Quantum Economics and Finance
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
article

Quantum Risk Analysis: Beyond (Conditional) Value-at-Risk

Christian Laudagé, Ivica Turkalj
article en

Abstract

Risk measures are important key figures to measure the adequacy of the reserves of a company. The most common risk measures in practice are Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). Recently, quantum-based algorithms are introduced to calculate them. These procedures are based on the so-called quantum amplitude estimation algorithm, which leads to a quadratic speed-up compared to classical Monte-Carlo based methods. Based on these ideas, we construct quantum-based algorithms to calculate alternatives for VaR and CVaR, namely the Expectile Value-at-Risk (EVaR) and the Range Value-at-Risk (RVaR). These algorithms are also based on quantum amplitude estimation. In two case studies, we compare their performance with the quantum-based algorithms for VaR and CVaR. We find that all of the algorithms perform sufficiently well on a quantum simulator. Further, the calculations of EVaR and VaR are robust against noise on a real quantum device. This is not the case for CVaR and RVaR.

Quantum Economics and FinanceVol. 2(2)
University of Koblenz and Landau (DE), Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics (DE), Rheinland-Pfälzische Technische Universität Kaiserslautern-Landau (DE)
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
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Quantum Risk Analysis: Beyond (Conditional) Value-at-Risk — Christian Laudagé, Ivica Turkalj · Quantum Economics and Finance (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS