A novel spatiotemporal analysis of snow cover pattern over Finland based on ERA5-land reanalysis

• Novel convolution-based method coupled with K-means clustering to analyze snow cover. • K-means clustering identified 4 snow cover patterns in Finland and analyzed 2000–2020 dynamics. • On average in Finland snow cover persists for 152 days. • We analyzed SCP anomalies, offering insights into midwinter thaw trends and distribution. • SCP-based indices can aid in studying the status and dynamics of planetary snow cover. As global temperatures rise due to climate change, snow-covered areas in high-latitude regions such as Finland exhibit increasing variability. Variations in Arctic snow cover can significantly impact the ecosystem, hydrological cycle, biodiversity, and many other physical processes. Consistent and detailed assessments of long-term changes in relevant snow cover pattern (SCP) features, including timing of snow accumulation and melt (phenology), duration of snow cover, and the number of snow-free days are crucial for understanding the regional dynamics of the water resources. This study aims to analyze the time series of SCP features in ERA5-Land reanalysis data for Finland. Prevalent SCP assessments exclude critical SCP features, such as the day of the year when maximum snow cover extent in each pixel start and end, which are essential for a thorough spatiotemporal analysis. This study addresses these gaps by analyzing four SCP features in each pixel: the snow onset date, first day of maximum snow cover extent, last day of maximum snow cover extent, and last day of snow cover. Based on ERA5-Land data from 2000 to 2020 and a novel method using convolution kernels and Hadamard-product-based weighting combined with K-means clustering, Finland was clustered into four distinct snow regions based on SCP features. In the largest cluster (114,738 km 2 ) the duration of maximum snow cover extent (D max ) was 189 days of the total 220 days of snow cover duration (D total ). Conversely, the smallest cluster in southern and coastal areas covering 41,630 km 2 , experienced D max of 85 within 123 days of D total . Mann-Kendall trend analysis revealed a significant extension of springtime snow cover in northern Finland, while southern and coastal areas experienced reduced winter snow-cover durations. Using K-nearest neighbours method and based on the mentioned four clusters, the 20 annual SCP features images of Finland were classified. The effect of air temperature and precipitation in the annual classification’s results and SCP variability in each region were also investigated. In this regard, we quantified the deviations of SCP form their cluster centroid during snow accumulation period, the period with maximum snow cover extent, and snowmelt period. The classification of annual SCP variations further demonstrated relationships between SCP dynamics and variations in air temperature and precipitation. SCP is particularly susceptible to near-zero air temperature fluctuations, whose effects can be further amplified by precipitation anomalies.

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Journal
Journal of Hydrology
Published
2025-09-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134264
Primary Topic
Cryospheric studies and observations
Type
article
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article

A novel spatiotemporal analysis of snow cover pattern over Finland based on ERA5-land reanalysis

Pertti Ala‐aho, Epari Ritesh Patro, M. Saboori, Ali Torabi Haghighi et al.
Journal of Hydrology
Cryospheric studies and observations
article

A novel spatiotemporal analysis of snow cover pattern over Finland based on ERA5-land reanalysis

Pertti Ala‐aho, Epari Ritesh Patro, M. Saboori, Ali Torabi Haghighi, Ramin Faal
article en

Abstract

• Novel convolution-based method coupled with K-means clustering to analyze snow cover. • K-means clustering identified 4 snow cover patterns in Finland and analyzed 2000–2020 dynamics. • On average in Finland snow cover persists for 152 days. • We analyzed SCP anomalies, offering insights into midwinter thaw trends and distribution. • SCP-based indices can aid in studying the status and dynamics of planetary snow cover. As global temperatures rise due to climate change, snow-covered areas in high-latitude regions such as Finland exhibit increasing variability. Variations in Arctic snow cover can significantly impact the ecosystem, hydrological cycle, biodiversity, and many other physical processes. Consistent and detailed assessments of long-term changes in relevant snow cover pattern (SCP) features, including timing of snow accumulation and melt (phenology), duration of snow cover, and the number of snow-free days are crucial for understanding the regional dynamics of the water resources. This study aims to analyze the time series of SCP features in ERA5-Land reanalysis data for Finland. Prevalent SCP assessments exclude critical SCP features, such as the day of the year when maximum snow cover extent in each pixel start and end, which are essential for a thorough spatiotemporal analysis. This study addresses these gaps by analyzing four SCP features in each pixel: the snow onset date, first day of maximum snow cover extent, last day of maximum snow cover extent, and last day of snow cover. Based on ERA5-Land data from 2000 to 2020 and a novel method using convolution kernels and Hadamard-product-based weighting combined with K-means clustering, Finland was clustered into four distinct snow regions based on SCP features. In the largest cluster (114,738 km 2 ) the duration of maximum snow cover extent (D max ) was 189 days of the total 220 days of snow cover duration (D total ). Conversely, the smallest cluster in southern and coastal areas covering 41,630 km 2 , experienced D max of 85 within 123 days of D total . Mann-Kendall trend analysis revealed a significant extension of springtime snow cover in northern Finland, while southern and coastal areas experienced reduced winter snow-cover durations. Using K-nearest neighbours method and based on the mentioned four clusters, the 20 annual SCP features images of Finland were classified. The effect of air temperature and precipitation in the annual classification’s results and SCP variability in each region were also investigated. In this regard, we quantified the deviations of SCP form their cluster centroid during snow accumulation period, the period with maximum snow cover extent, and snowmelt period. The classification of annual SCP variations further demonstrated relationships between SCP dynamics and variations in air temperature and precipitation. SCP is particularly susceptible to near-zero air temperature fluctuations, whose effects can be further amplified by precipitation anomalies.

Journal of HydrologyVol. 663
University of Oulu (FI)
Openalex Percentile: Top 69%
Cryospheric studies and observations
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