An Interpretable Ensemble Learning Framework Based on Remote Sensing for Ecological–Geological Environment Evaluation: The Case of Laos

As a critical ecological security barrier in the Indo-China Peninsula, the Lao People’s Democratic Republic (Lao PDR) is increasingly threatened by forest degradation, frequent geological hazards, and intensified anthropogenic disturbances. To address the urgent need for a scientific evaluation of eco-geological environmental quality, this study develops a comprehensive assessment framework integrating multi-source remote sensing imagery, geological maps, and socio-economic datasets. A total of ten indicators were selected across four dimensions—geology, topography, ecology, and human activity. A stacking ensemble learning model was constructed by combining seven heterogeneous base classifiers—AdaBoost, KNN, Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, SVC, MLP, and XGBoost—with a logistic regression meta-learner. Model interpretability was enhanced using SHAP values to quantify the contribution of each input variable. The stacking model outperformed all individual models, achieving an accuracy of 91.14%, an F1 score of 93.62%, and an AUC of 95.05%. NDVI, GDP, and slope were identified as the most influential factors: vegetation coverage showed a strong positive relationship with environmental quality, while economic development intensity and steep terrain were associated with degradation. Spatial zoning results indicate that high-quality eco-geological zones are concentrated in the low-disturbance plains of the northeast and southeast, whereas vulnerable areas are primarily distributed around the Vientiane metropolitan region and tectonically active mountainous zones. This study offers a robust and interpretable methodological approach to support ecological diagnosis, zonal management, and sustainable development in tropical mountainous regions.