The Permanent and Temporary Effects of Stock Splits on Liquidity in a Dynamic Semiparametric Model

We develop a dynamic framework to detect the occurrence of permanent and transitory breaks in the illiquidity process. We propose various tests that can be applied separately to individual events and can be aggregated across different events over time for a given firm or across different firms. We use this methodology to study the impact of forward and reverse stock splits on the illiquidity dynamics of the S&P 500, S&P 400, and S&P 600 index stock constituents. Our empirical results show that stock splits have a positive and significant effect on the permanent component of the illiquidity process while a majority of the stocks engaging in reverse splits experience an improvement in liquidity conditions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Business and Economic Statistics
Published
2025-09-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2025.2551246
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The Permanent and Temporary Effects of Stock Splits on Liquidity in a Dynamic Semiparametric Model

Christian Hafner, Oliver B. Linton, Linqi Wang
Journal of Business and Economic Statistics
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
article

The Permanent and Temporary Effects of Stock Splits on Liquidity in a Dynamic Semiparametric Model

Christian Hafner, Oliver B. Linton, Linqi Wang
article en

Abstract

We develop a dynamic framework to detect the occurrence of permanent and transitory breaks in the illiquidity process. We propose various tests that can be applied separately to individual events and can be aggregated across different events over time for a given firm or across different firms. We use this methodology to study the impact of forward and reverse stock splits on the illiquidity dynamics of the S&P 500, S&P 400, and S&P 600 index stock constituents. Our empirical results show that stock splits have a positive and significant effect on the permanent component of the illiquidity process while a majority of the stocks engaging in reverse splits experience an improvement in liquidity conditions.

Journal of Business and Economic Statistics
University of Cambridge (GB), UCLouvain (BE)
Openalex Percentile: Top 67%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
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