Predicting the seasonal distribution of fall armyworm in <scp>North America</scp> using species distribution models

This study indicates that FAW may have outbreaks across the central and eastern USA in July and August, emphasizing the necessity of implementing early large-scale pest control. Using separate models for each season, rather than a single model to predict whether seasonal distribution could improve prediction accuracy by identifying key environmental variables in each season and refining niche characterization. © 2025 The Author(s). Pest Management Science published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry. This article has been contributed to by U.S. Government employees and their work is in the public domain in the USA.