Critical Role of Land Management Practices in Augmenting China’s Terrestrial Carbon Sink up to 2060

China's carbon neutrality goal hinges on augmenting its terrestrial carbon sink through land management practices and environmental changes. However, the magnitude of China's future terrestrial carbon sink and its contributing factors remain uncertain. Notably, there is a lack of appropriate tools to parse the contributions of individual land management practices (i.e., afforestation/reforestation, grassland grazing exclusion, and wood extraction) to China's future terrestrial carbon sink. Employing a process-based model, this study projected an increment of 84.8 Tg C yr<sup>-1</sup> in China's terrestrial carbon sink for 2021-2060 under the SSP1-2.6 scenario relative to the 2020 baseline of 224.1 Tg C yr<sup>-1</sup>. Land management practices, including afforestation and reforestation, reduced wood extraction, and grazing exclusion, were responsible for 96.8% of this increment, while environmental changes accounted for only 3.2% of this increment, with climate change nearly fully offsetting the contribution from atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> growth. China's terrestrial carbon sinks were estimated to range from 289.8 to 339.8 Tg C yr<sup>-1</sup> during 2021-2060 under different land management practices and environmental conditions. These findings highlight the dominant role of land management practices in augmenting carbon sequestration and provide critical insights for developing climate policies that support China's carbon neutrality goals.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Environmental Science & Technology
Published
2025-09-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5c03106
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Soil Carbon and Nitrogen Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.19
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Critical Role of Land Management Practices in Augmenting China’s Terrestrial Carbon Sink up to 2060

Lei Zhu, Feilong Shen, Pengyi Zhang, Jie Zhao et al.
1 citations
Environmental Science & Technology
Soil Carbon and Nitrogen Dynamics
1.19
article

Critical Role of Land Management Practices in Augmenting China’s Terrestrial Carbon Sink up to 2060

Lei Zhu, Feilong Shen, Pengyi Zhang, Jie Zhao, J S Li, Zhongdian Zhang, Lele Wang, Mengyu Wang, Chao Yue, Ziyu Zhang, Mengyang Xu, Qi Tian, Junhao He, Yi Leng
article en
1 citations

Abstract

China's carbon neutrality goal hinges on augmenting its terrestrial carbon sink through land management practices and environmental changes. However, the magnitude of China's future terrestrial carbon sink and its contributing factors remain uncertain. Notably, there is a lack of appropriate tools to parse the contributions of individual land management practices (i.e., afforestation/reforestation, grassland grazing exclusion, and wood extraction) to China's future terrestrial carbon sink. Employing a process-based model, this study projected an increment of 84.8 Tg C yr<sup>-1</sup> in China's terrestrial carbon sink for 2021-2060 under the SSP1-2.6 scenario relative to the 2020 baseline of 224.1 Tg C yr<sup>-1</sup>. Land management practices, including afforestation and reforestation, reduced wood extraction, and grazing exclusion, were responsible for 96.8% of this increment, while environmental changes accounted for only 3.2% of this increment, with climate change nearly fully offsetting the contribution from atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> growth. China's terrestrial carbon sinks were estimated to range from 289.8 to 339.8 Tg C yr<sup>-1</sup> during 2021-2060 under different land management practices and environmental conditions. These findings highlight the dominant role of land management practices in augmenting carbon sequestration and provide critical insights for developing climate policies that support China's carbon neutrality goals.

Environmental Science & TechnologyVol. 59(38)
Xinyang Normal University (CN), Linyi University (CN), Czech University of Life Sciences Prague (CZ), Institute of Soil and Water Conservation (CN), Ministry of Education (ME), Institute of Desertification Studies (CN), State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science (CN), Northwest A&F University (CN), Tsinghua University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 17%
Soil Carbon and Nitrogen Dynamics
1.19
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.