Analisis Prediksi Kebangkrutan dengan Menggunakan Metode Zmijewski pada PT Matahari Department Store Tbk Periode 2019-2023

This study aims to analyze the bankruptcy prediction of PT Matahari Department Store Tbk using the Zmijewski method. The Zmijewski method, developed in 1984, is one of the most widely used approaches to predict corporate financial distress through the use of financial ratios. The study covers the period from 2019 to 2023 and applies a quantitative research design. The data used in this study are secondary data obtained from the company’s financial reports. Data collection techniques include documentation and literature study, while the data analysis technique applied is the Zmijewski model, which employs three main ratios: return on assets (X1), debt to assets ratio (X2), and current ratio (X3). The results show that in 2019, 2021, and 2022, the X values were -1.92, -0.29, and -0.25, respectively, indicating that PT Matahari Department Store was not predicted to face potential bankruptcy, as the values were below 0. However, in 2020 and 2023, the X values were 1.51 and 0.85, respectively, suggesting that the company had the potential to go bankrupt, as the results exceeded 0. These findings highlight the financial fluctuations experienced by PT Matahari Department Store during the study period, emphasizing the importance of continuous financial performance evaluation and the use of bankruptcy prediction models as an early warning tool for stakeholders and decision makers.