Interdecadal Increase of the Contribution of Extreme Precipitation in June in South China

Abstract Extreme precipitation plays an increasingly important role in shaping hydroclimatic risk under global warming, yet its long‐term contribution to total precipitation remains poorly understood. This study investigates the interdecadal changes in the Proportion of Extreme Precipitation to Total Precipitation (PEPTP) in South China from 1961 to 2024. Results show a significant increase in PEPTP since the early 1990s. The Indian Ocean capacitor effect dominate the earlier period, the post‐1992 phase is increasingly influenced by North Atlantic Zonal Dipole (NAZD). Notably, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) modulates the NAZD–PEPTP relationship, with a significant positive correlation emerging during negative PDO phases. The recent enhancement of PEPTP coincides with a persistent negative PDO phase. These findings highlight the importance of multi‐oceanic modes and decadal variability in shaping extreme precipitation under climate change.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2025-09-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl117366
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.11
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article

Interdecadal Increase of the Contribution of Extreme Precipitation in June in South China

Bicheng Huang, Jianping Huang, Zhiyuan Hu, Haiming Wu et al.
1 citations
Geophysical Research Letters
Climate variability and models
1.11
article

Interdecadal Increase of the Contribution of Extreme Precipitation in June in South China

Bicheng Huang, Jianping Huang, Zhiyuan Hu, Haiming Wu, Sheng Lai, Wenjie Dong, Taichen Feng
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Abstract Extreme precipitation plays an increasingly important role in shaping hydroclimatic risk under global warming, yet its long‐term contribution to total precipitation remains poorly understood. This study investigates the interdecadal changes in the Proportion of Extreme Precipitation to Total Precipitation (PEPTP) in South China from 1961 to 2024. Results show a significant increase in PEPTP since the early 1990s. The Indian Ocean capacitor effect dominate the earlier period, the post‐1992 phase is increasingly influenced by North Atlantic Zonal Dipole (NAZD). Notably, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) modulates the NAZD–PEPTP relationship, with a significant positive correlation emerging during negative PDO phases. The recent enhancement of PEPTP coincides with a persistent negative PDO phase. These findings highlight the importance of multi‐oceanic modes and decadal variability in shaping extreme precipitation under climate change.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 52(18)
Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region Department of Education (CN), Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou) (CN), Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region Health and Family Planning (CN), Kementerian Pendidikan Malaysia (MY), Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) (CN), Lanzhou University (CN), Yangzhou University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 20%
Climate variability and models
1.11
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