Comparative Analysis of Perceived Threat Threshold from Various Drivers to Cranes Along Indus Flyway, Punjab, Pakistan

Migratory birds globally face escalating anthropogenic threats, with crane species being particularly vulnerable. This study assessed human-perceived threats to cranes (<i>Grus virgo</i> & <i>Grus grus</i>) along Pakistan's vital Indus Flyway using 400 stakeholder questionnaires across eight districts (2021-2024). We quantified perceived threat based on frequency (1 = Very Rare; 5 = Very Frequent) and severity (1 = Not Severe; 5 = Extremely Severe), revealing poaching (illegal killing) as the dominant threat (frequency = 4.9; severity = 4.8), followed by illegal wildlife trade (4.7; 4.5) and taming (4.6; 4.3). Spatial analysis showed strikingly higher perceived threats in southern Pakistan (Rajanpur: frequency = 4.88, severity = 4.82) versus central regions (Khushab: 3.76, 4.02; <i>p</i> < 0.001), with riverbanks identified as high-risk poaching zones (42 incidents). Cluster analysis also confirmed Rajanpur as a critical hotspot within three distinct threat tiers. Critically, analysis of socio-demographic drivers revealed threat type (frequency: F = 104.92, <i>p</i> < 0.001; severity: F = 153.64, <i>p</i> < 0.001) and poaching method (frequency: F = 10.14, <i>p</i> < 0.001; severity: F = 15.43, <i>p</i> < 0.001) as significant perception-shapers, while education, occupation, and crane species preference (frequency: F = 1.17, <i>p</i> = 0.310) exerted a non-significant influence. These results highlight that individual backgrounds minimally modulate threat perceptions. The study aligns with global evidence of uniform crane threats demanding the following urgent conservation action: region-specific enforcement (especially southern hotspots), community-led anti-poaching initiatives, and targeted awareness programs to shift high-threat communities toward crane-friendly coexistence practices.

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Publication Details

Journal
Biology
Published
2025-09-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/biology14091275
Primary Topic
Wildlife-Road Interactions and Conservation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Comparative Analysis of Perceived Threat Threshold from Various Drivers to Cranes Along Indus Flyway, Punjab, Pakistan

Ayesha Zulfiqar, Mah Noor Khan, Nasrullah Khan, Qingming Wu et al.
Biology
Wildlife-Road Interactions and Conservation
article

Comparative Analysis of Perceived Threat Threshold from Various Drivers to Cranes Along Indus Flyway, Punjab, Pakistan

Ayesha Zulfiqar, Mah Noor Khan, Nasrullah Khan, Qingming Wu, Xue-Ying Sun, Abdul Rehman
article en

Abstract

Migratory birds globally face escalating anthropogenic threats, with crane species being particularly vulnerable. This study assessed human-perceived threats to cranes (<i>Grus virgo</i> & <i>Grus grus</i>) along Pakistan's vital Indus Flyway using 400 stakeholder questionnaires across eight districts (2021-2024). We quantified perceived threat based on frequency (1 = Very Rare; 5 = Very Frequent) and severity (1 = Not Severe; 5 = Extremely Severe), revealing poaching (illegal killing) as the dominant threat (frequency = 4.9; severity = 4.8), followed by illegal wildlife trade (4.7; 4.5) and taming (4.6; 4.3). Spatial analysis showed strikingly higher perceived threats in southern Pakistan (Rajanpur: frequency = 4.88, severity = 4.82) versus central regions (Khushab: 3.76, 4.02; <i>p</i> < 0.001), with riverbanks identified as high-risk poaching zones (42 incidents). Cluster analysis also confirmed Rajanpur as a critical hotspot within three distinct threat tiers. Critically, analysis of socio-demographic drivers revealed threat type (frequency: F = 104.92, <i>p</i> < 0.001; severity: F = 153.64, <i>p</i> < 0.001) and poaching method (frequency: F = 10.14, <i>p</i> < 0.001; severity: F = 15.43, <i>p</i> < 0.001) as significant perception-shapers, while education, occupation, and crane species preference (frequency: F = 1.17, <i>p</i> = 0.310) exerted a non-significant influence. These results highlight that individual backgrounds minimally modulate threat perceptions. The study aligns with global evidence of uniform crane threats demanding the following urgent conservation action: region-specific enforcement (especially southern hotspots), community-led anti-poaching initiatives, and targeted awareness programs to shift high-threat communities toward crane-friendly coexistence practices.

BiologyVol. 14(9)
University of the Punjab (PK), Northeast Forestry University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Wildlife-Road Interactions and Conservation
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