Asymptotic mixed normality of maximum-likelihood estimator for Ewens–Pitman partition

Abstract This paper investigates the asymptotic properties of parameter estimation for the Ewens–Pitman partition with parameters $0\lt\alpha\lt1$ and $\theta\gt-\alpha$ . Specifically, we show that the maximum-likelihood estimator (MLE) of $\alpha$ is $n^{\alpha/2}$ -consistent and converges to a variance mixture of normal distributions, where the variance is governed by the Mittag-Leffler distribution. Moreover, we show that a proper normalization involving a random statistic eliminates the randomness in the variance. Building on this result, we construct an approximate confidence interval for $\alpha$ . Our proof relies on a stable martingale central limit theorem, which is of independent interest.

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Publication Details

Journal
Advances in Applied Probability
Published
2025-09-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/apr.2025.10020
Primary Topic
Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Asymptotic mixed normality of maximum-likelihood estimator for Ewens–Pitman partition

Takeru Matsuda, Takuya Koriyama, Fumiyasu Komaki
Advances in Applied Probability
Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
article

Asymptotic mixed normality of maximum-likelihood estimator for Ewens–Pitman partition

Takeru Matsuda, Takuya Koriyama, Fumiyasu Komaki
article en

Abstract

Abstract This paper investigates the asymptotic properties of parameter estimation for the Ewens–Pitman partition with parameters $0\lt\alpha\lt1$ and $\theta\gt-\alpha$ . Specifically, we show that the maximum-likelihood estimator (MLE) of $\alpha$ is $n^{\alpha/2}$ -consistent and converges to a variance mixture of normal distributions, where the variance is governed by the Mittag-Leffler distribution. Moreover, we show that a proper normalization involving a random statistic eliminates the randomness in the variance. Building on this result, we construct an approximate confidence interval for $\alpha$ . Our proof relies on a stable martingale central limit theorem, which is of independent interest.

Advances in Applied Probability
Rikkyo University (JP), University of Chicago (US), The University of Tokyo (JP)
Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Core Research for Evolutional Science and Technology, Moonshot Research and Development Program
Openalex Percentile: Top 87%
Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
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