Anomaly levels of factors affecting the estimated price of a second-hand ship
This is a study to determine the variables, and their effects related to second-hand ship prices and predict the prices of ships with the anomalies and make suggestions to their reasons on information acquired from the sales of 1,283 pre-owned Panamax-class vessels between 2010 and 2022. The regression model was used as a pre-selection method to specify the variables associated with the prices of second-hand ships, and the artificial neural networks model was used to predict the prices of these ships and to determine the anomalies related to the price estimation. As a result, there is a significant relationship between the age of the ships, tonnage, LIBOR interest rates, crude oil prices, freight rates and second-hand prices. In ships older than 20 years and between 65,000-75,000 DWT, very low and high freight rates, low crude oil prices and high interest rates, anomaly prices are high.
Authors
- Ersin Açıkgöz (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9672-5385)
- Burak Göksu
- Gülden Öner
Institutions
- Zonguldak Bülent Ecevit University (TR)
Publication Details
- Journal
- International Journal of Shipping and Transport Logistics
- Published
- 2025-01-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1504/ijstl.2025.148485
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Market Dynamics and Volatility
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 3.13