Learning in random utility models via online decision problems

Abstract This paper examines the Random Utility Model (RUM) in repeated stochastic choice settings where decision‐makers lack full information about payoffs. We propose a gradient‐based learning algorithm that embeds RUM into an online decision‐making framework. Our analysis establishes Hannan consistency for a broad class of RUMs, meaning the average regret relative to the best fixed action in hindsight vanishes over time. We also show that our algorithm is equivalent to the Follow‐The‐Regularized‐Leader method, offering an economically grounded approach to online optimization. Applications include modeling recency bias and characterizing coarse correlated equilibria in normal‐form games.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Economic Theory
Published
2025-09-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/ijet.70006
Primary Topic
Consumer Market Behavior and Pricing
Type
article
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article

Learning in random utility models via online decision problems

Emerson Melo
International Journal of Economic Theory
Consumer Market Behavior and Pricing
article

Learning in random utility models via online decision problems

Emerson Melo
article en

Abstract

Abstract This paper examines the Random Utility Model (RUM) in repeated stochastic choice settings where decision‐makers lack full information about payoffs. We propose a gradient‐based learning algorithm that embeds RUM into an online decision‐making framework. Our analysis establishes Hannan consistency for a broad class of RUMs, meaning the average regret relative to the best fixed action in hindsight vanishes over time. We also show that our algorithm is equivalent to the Follow‐The‐Regularized‐Leader method, offering an economically grounded approach to online optimization. Applications include modeling recency bias and characterizing coarse correlated equilibria in normal‐form games.

International Journal of Economic TheoryVol. 21(4)
Indiana University Bloomington (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 68%
Consumer Market Behavior and Pricing
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