Developing a Value Proposition Model for Construction 4.0 Decisions: A Futures Triangle Approach

This paper introduces the Construction 4.0 Value Proposition Score (CVPS4.0)—a structured framework that enables Architecture, Engineering, and Construction (AEC) organizations to evaluate and communicate the value proposition of Construction 4.0 decisions. Grounded in the “Futures Triangle” theory, the study draws on existing research to identify three key dimensions: past barriers constraining AEC organizations, current trends driving industry change, and future transformations toward which the sector is evolving. In total, 45 barriers, 13 trends, and four transformations were identified as the foundation of the scoring framework. The model assesses how a decision influences each dimension, producing a composite score that reflects its overall value proposition. This score incorporates three considerations: the applicability of each factor to the organization, the degree of impact the decision has on it, and the relevance of the factor to the decision. The framework was validated through proof-of-concept with a subject-matter expert, who confirmed its value in supporting strategic, data-informed decision-making. As one of the first studies to evaluate the value proposition of Construction 4.0, this research offers both a practical decision-support tool and a consolidated reference on the forces shaping organizational change. CVPS4.0 provides AEC organizations with a proactive means to guide decisions, mitigate risks, and enhance long-term value creation.