A Mixture Model for Survival Data with Both Latent and Non-Latent Cure Fractions

One of the most popular cure rate models in the literature is the Berkson and Gage mixture model. A characteristic of this model is that it considers the cure to be a latent event. However, there are situations in which the cure is well known, and this information must be considered in the analysis. In this context, this paper proposes a mixture model that accommodates both latent and non-latent cure fractions. More specifically, the proposal is to extend the Berkson and Gage mixture model to include the knowledge of the cure. A simulation study was conducted to investigate the asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators. Finally, the proposed model is illustrated through an application to credit risk modeling.

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Publication Details

Journal
Stats
Published
2025-09-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/stats8030082
Primary Topic
Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
Type
article
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article

A Mixture Model for Survival Data with Both Latent and Non-Latent Cure Fractions

Marcílio Ramos Pereira Cardial, Frederico Machado Almeida, Eduardo Yoshio Nakano
Stats
Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
article

A Mixture Model for Survival Data with Both Latent and Non-Latent Cure Fractions

Marcílio Ramos Pereira Cardial, Frederico Machado Almeida, Eduardo Yoshio Nakano
article en

Abstract

One of the most popular cure rate models in the literature is the Berkson and Gage mixture model. A characteristic of this model is that it considers the cure to be a latent event. However, there are situations in which the cure is well known, and this information must be considered in the analysis. In this context, this paper proposes a mixture model that accommodates both latent and non-latent cure fractions. More specifically, the proposal is to extend the Berkson and Gage mixture model to include the knowledge of the cure. A simulation study was conducted to investigate the asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators. Finally, the proposed model is illustrated through an application to credit risk modeling.

StatsVol. 8(3)
Universidade de Brasília (BR), Universidade Federal de Goiás (BR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 87%
Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
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