Forecasting Electricity Spot Market Prices Based on LSTM and GCN
Forecasting prices of spot electricity markets is crucial for power system operation and market decisions. This paper proposes a hybrid model combining Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) to address the spatial-temporal complexity in forecasting electricity prices. The model uses LSTM to capture temporal features at individual grid nodes and GCN to model spatial correlations based on grid topology. Through end-to-end training, the model integrates temporal and spatial factors effectively. Key innovations include spatial-temporal coupling, dynamic adaptation to grid changes, and enhanced interpretability for forecasting locational marginal prices. Potential improvements like multi-head attention mechanisms are also discussed, highlighting potential of the model for accurate and reliable price forecasting in dynamic electricity markets.
Authors
- Chengshan Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7403-0582)
- Pengfei Fan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4747-5727)
- Jiangwei Hou (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0938-5288)
Institutions
- Tianjin University (CN)
- China Power Engineering Consulting Group (China) (CN)
Publication Details
- Published
- 2025-06-20
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1109/icesep66633.2025.11155677
- Primary Topic
- Energy Load and Power Forecasting
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00