Short‐Term Effects of El Niño (2023–2024 <scp>ENSO</scp>) Drought on Predation Patterns of Lepidopteran Prey in an Urban‐Agricultural Ecosystems

ABSTRACT El Niño events can significantly disrupt ecosystem dynamics by altering species distribution, population size, and food web interactions, often leading to biodiversity losses and imbalances in ecological relationships. Although an understanding of El Niño‐associated climate and weather changes is critical, their impact on ecological interactions in the tropics remains understudied. We investigated differences in the predation rate of lepidopteran larvae across El Niño phases within an urban‐agricultural landscape in Southcentral Mindanao, the Philippines. Our results demonstrate notable variations throughout the El Niño phases. Predation rates were considerably higher in the pre‐El Niño phase (mean ± SD = 18.24% ± 13.48%) than during the peak of the El Niño phase (mean ± SD = 6.41% ± 10.20%) and showed a slight, yet statistically insignificant, rise in the post‐El Niño phase (mean = 9.48% ± 17.66%). Although predation by arthropods on herbivorous preys remained predominant during all periods, vertebrate predation was related to the warmer and drier conditions of El Niño associated with the 2023 ENSO. Our study provides initial insights into how El Niño events shape prey–predator relationships and sustain key ecological functions through species interactions, laying a crucial foundation for future research on the ecological impacts of El Niño droughts in tropical agro‐urban systems. We highlight the importance of considering climate variability in predator–prey dynamics and recommend future studies on long‐term recovery, habitat restoration, and climate‐adaptive strategies to strengthen ecosystem resilience.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Biotropica
Published
2025-09-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/btp.70098
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Species Distribution and Climate Change
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.84
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Short‐Term Effects of El Niño (2023–2024 ENSO) Drought on Predation Patterns of Lepidopteran Prey in an Urban‐Agricultural Ecosystems

Krizler C. Tanalgo, Asraf K. Lidasan, Angelo Rellama Agduma, Faith Molina et al.
1 citations
Biotropica
Species Distribution and Climate Change
1.84
article

Short‐Term Effects of El Niño (2023–2024 ENSO) Drought on Predation Patterns of Lepidopteran Prey in an Urban‐Agricultural Ecosystems

Krizler C. Tanalgo, Asraf K. Lidasan, Angelo Rellama Agduma, Faith Molina, Kier Celestial Dela Cruz, Pedro Serna, Janine Edradan, Christian Jay M. Sabanal, Xesca Michaela P. Delos Reyes, Tricksy S. Cabuyadao
article en
1 citations

Abstract

ABSTRACT El Niño events can significantly disrupt ecosystem dynamics by altering species distribution, population size, and food web interactions, often leading to biodiversity losses and imbalances in ecological relationships. Although an understanding of El Niño‐associated climate and weather changes is critical, their impact on ecological interactions in the tropics remains understudied. We investigated differences in the predation rate of lepidopteran larvae across El Niño phases within an urban‐agricultural landscape in Southcentral Mindanao, the Philippines. Our results demonstrate notable variations throughout the El Niño phases. Predation rates were considerably higher in the pre‐El Niño phase (mean ± SD = 18.24% ± 13.48%) than during the peak of the El Niño phase (mean ± SD = 6.41% ± 10.20%) and showed a slight, yet statistically insignificant, rise in the post‐El Niño phase (mean = 9.48% ± 17.66%). Although predation by arthropods on herbivorous preys remained predominant during all periods, vertebrate predation was related to the warmer and drier conditions of El Niño associated with the 2023 ENSO. Our study provides initial insights into how El Niño events shape prey–predator relationships and sustain key ecological functions through species interactions, laying a crucial foundation for future research on the ecological impacts of El Niño droughts in tropical agro‐urban systems. We highlight the importance of considering climate variability in predator–prey dynamics and recommend future studies on long‐term recovery, habitat restoration, and climate‐adaptive strategies to strengthen ecosystem resilience.

BiotropicaVol. 57(5)
University of Southern Mindanao (PH)
Openalex Percentile: Top 13%
Species Distribution and Climate Change
1.84
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.