Markov chain entropy games and the geometry of their Nash equilibria

We introduce and study a two-player zero-sum game between a probabilist and Nature defined by a convex function f , a finite collection B of Markov generators (or its convex hull), and a target distribution .The probabilist selects a mixed strategy P(B), the set of probability measures on B, while Nature adopts a pure strategy and selects a -reversible Markov generator M .The probabilist receives a payoff equal to the f -divergence D f (M L), where L is drawn according to .We prove that this game always admits a mixed strategy Nash equilibrium and satisfies a minimax identity.In contrast, a pure strategy equilibrium may fail to exist.We develop a projected subgradient method to compute approximate mixed strategy equilibria with provable convergence guarantees.Connections to information centroids, Chebyshev centers, and Bayes risk are discussed.This paper extends earlier minimax results on f -divergences such as (Haussler, 1997;Haussler and Opper, 1997;Gushchin and Zhdanov, 2006) to the context of Markov generators.

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Publication Details

Journal
Latin American Journal of Probability and Mathematical Statistics
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.30757/alea.v22-37
Primary Topic
Game Theory and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Markov chain entropy games and the geometry of their Nash equilibria

Geoffrey Wolfer, Michael C. H. Choi
Latin American Journal of Probability and Mathematical Statistics
Game Theory and Applications
article

Markov chain entropy games and the geometry of their Nash equilibria

Geoffrey Wolfer, Michael C. H. Choi
article en

Abstract

We introduce and study a two-player zero-sum game between a probabilist and Nature defined by a convex function f , a finite collection B of Markov generators (or its convex hull), and a target distribution .The probabilist selects a mixed strategy P(B), the set of probability measures on B, while Nature adopts a pure strategy and selects a -reversible Markov generator M .The probabilist receives a payoff equal to the f -divergence D f (M L), where L is drawn according to .We prove that this game always admits a mixed strategy Nash equilibrium and satisfies a minimax identity.In contrast, a pure strategy equilibrium may fail to exist.We develop a projected subgradient method to compute approximate mixed strategy equilibria with provable convergence guarantees.Connections to information centroids, Chebyshev centers, and Bayes risk are discussed.This paper extends earlier minimax results on f -divergences such as (Haussler, 1997;Haussler and Opper, 1997;Gushchin and Zhdanov, 2006) to the context of Markov generators.

Latin American Journal of Probability and Mathematical StatisticsVol. 22(2)
National University of Singapore, Toulouse School of Economics, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, RIKEN
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Game Theory and Applications
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Markov chain entropy games and the geometry of their Nash equilibria — Geoffrey Wolfer, Michael C. H. Choi · Latin American Journal of Probability and Mathematical Statistics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS