Opportunities in multiscale modeling of mosquito-borne flaviviruses

Mosquito-borne flaviviruses, such as Zika, dengue, West Nile, and yellow fever virus, represent a growing public health concern due to their widespread distribution and the severe diseases they cause. These viruses are difficult to control as climate change and urbanization help mosquitoes expand into new areas, increasing the risk of outbreaks. Mathematical models play a key role in understanding their spread, providing insights at every level-from how the virus multiplies inside cells to how it circulates through entire populations. This review examines various approaches used in modeling arboviruses, including microscale models that focus on cellular and molecular dynamics, mesoscale models that address within-host processes, and macroscale models that capture population-level transmission. We briefly summarize the methodology used for models at each scale, which primarily consists of sets of differential equations with parameters that represent physical rates of change for different subprocesses. We particularly highlight how temperature affects virus transmission, which is key to understanding the impact of climate change. We also show how multiscale models can connect viral replication, immune response, and the spread of infection at a larger scale. This is essential for developing better vaccines and treatments, evaluating disease control measures, predicting the impact of climate change, and improving public health responses to outbreaks.

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Publication Details

Journal
Biosystems
Published
2025-09-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biosystems.2025.105593
Primary Topic
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Opportunities in multiscale modeling of mosquito-borne flaviviruses

Priya S. Shah, Carrie A. Manore, Carolin Zitzmann, Neil Alvin B. Adia
Biosystems
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
article

Opportunities in multiscale modeling of mosquito-borne flaviviruses

Priya S. Shah, Carrie A. Manore, Carolin Zitzmann, Neil Alvin B. Adia
article en

Abstract

Mosquito-borne flaviviruses, such as Zika, dengue, West Nile, and yellow fever virus, represent a growing public health concern due to their widespread distribution and the severe diseases they cause. These viruses are difficult to control as climate change and urbanization help mosquitoes expand into new areas, increasing the risk of outbreaks. Mathematical models play a key role in understanding their spread, providing insights at every level-from how the virus multiplies inside cells to how it circulates through entire populations. This review examines various approaches used in modeling arboviruses, including microscale models that focus on cellular and molecular dynamics, mesoscale models that address within-host processes, and macroscale models that capture population-level transmission. We briefly summarize the methodology used for models at each scale, which primarily consists of sets of differential equations with parameters that represent physical rates of change for different subprocesses. We particularly highlight how temperature affects virus transmission, which is key to understanding the impact of climate change. We also show how multiscale models can connect viral replication, immune response, and the spread of infection at a larger scale. This is essential for developing better vaccines and treatments, evaluating disease control measures, predicting the impact of climate change, and improving public health responses to outbreaks.

BiosystemsVol. 257
Los Alamos National Laboratory (US), University of California, Davis (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 67%
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
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Opportunities in multiscale modeling of mosquito-borne flaviviruses — Priya S. Shah, Carrie A. Manore, et al. · Biosystems (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS