Measuring and Analyzing the Determinants of Inequality in Income Distribution in Iraq using the Modern Methodology of Cointegration for the Period (2004–2023)

The research aims to measure and analyze the determinants of inequality in income distribution in the Iraqi economy for the period (2004-2023) based on the modern methodology of cointegration and using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model. The results of the cointegration test indicate the existence of an integration relationship between the variables, which means the existence of a long-term equilibrium relationship between the coefficient of inequality in income distribution (Gini coefficient) and its determinants in the short and long term at a statistical significance level (1%). The research found a significant positive effect between the Gini coefficient (and absolute poverty line, inflation rate, Age dependency ratio, average per capita share of national income, government spending as a percentage of GDP) and there is a significant inverse relationship between the Gini coefficient and (degree of economic exposure, spending on education as a percentage of GDP, population growth rate, unemployment rate). The research concluded with several recommendations, the most important of which is increasing the average per capita income of citizens by raising the efficiency of workers and increasing their productivity, linking wages to productivity, and abandoning privatization programs that would lead to higher unemployment and inequality stability in income distribution.

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Publication Details

Journal
KnE Social Sciences
Published
2025-09-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18502/kss.v10i19.19636
Primary Topic
Economic Growth and Development
Type
article
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article

Measuring and Analyzing the Determinants of Inequality in Income Distribution in Iraq using the Modern Methodology of Cointegration for the Period (2004–2023)

Nadhem Abdullah Abid AlMihihimdy-Muhammadi, Huthaifa Mohammed Farhan
KnE Social Sciences
Economic Growth and Development
article

Measuring and Analyzing the Determinants of Inequality in Income Distribution in Iraq using the Modern Methodology of Cointegration for the Period (2004–2023)

Nadhem Abdullah Abid AlMihihimdy-Muhammadi, Huthaifa Mohammed Farhan
article en

Abstract

The research aims to measure and analyze the determinants of inequality in income distribution in the Iraqi economy for the period (2004-2023) based on the modern methodology of cointegration and using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model. The results of the cointegration test indicate the existence of an integration relationship between the variables, which means the existence of a long-term equilibrium relationship between the coefficient of inequality in income distribution (Gini coefficient) and its determinants in the short and long term at a statistical significance level (1%). The research found a significant positive effect between the Gini coefficient (and absolute poverty line, inflation rate, Age dependency ratio, average per capita share of national income, government spending as a percentage of GDP) and there is a significant inverse relationship between the Gini coefficient and (degree of economic exposure, spending on education as a percentage of GDP, population growth rate, unemployment rate). The research concluded with several recommendations, the most important of which is increasing the average per capita income of citizens by raising the efficiency of workers and increasing their productivity, linking wages to productivity, and abandoning privatization programs that would lead to higher unemployment and inequality stability in income distribution.

KnE Social SciencesVol. 10(19)
University of Hargeisa (SO), University Of Fallujah (IQ), Hope University (SO)
Openalex Percentile: Top 64%
Economic Growth and Development
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