Trends in Global Trade of Red Meats from 1986 to 2023: A Complex Network Analysis with Implications for Public Health

During the last decades, there have been increasing concerns in public health debates regarding the production and consumption of red meat, considering connections between the occurrence of nutrition transition and an increase in the prevalence of chronic noncommunicable diseases. The consumption of red meat has been linked to adverse health outcomes; however, current evidence reveals controversies regarding the intake of diverse red meats. In addition, barriers to meat consumption include sanitary legislation linked to foodborne diseases connected to livestock, whilst governments of diverse countries provide incentives for its production and export worldwide. Thus, the objective of the present study was to investigate the evolution in the global trade of processed and unprocessed red meat from 1986 to 2023, using network analysis. Data on the trade of red meat between pairs of 216 countries were obtained from the Food and Agriculture Organization Database (FAOSTAT). The dataset, comprising the mean annual volume of processed and unprocessed red meat exchanged from reporting countries (origin) to partner countries (destination), was used to map global trade networks of red meats and identify global trends in red meat consumption according to country income level. The results indicate substantial intensification in the global trade of processed (0.202 in 1986 to 0.453 kg per capita in 2023) and unprocessed red meat (1.415 in 1986 to 3.315 Kg per capita in 2023). The volume of trade of unprocessed red meat remains greater than the volume processed red meat; yet, the findings indicate a threefold increase in the average weighted degree of processed red meat trade (0.002 to 0.006) from 1986 until 2023, whilst unprocessed red meat showed a twofold increase (0.009 to 0.019). The results raise public health concerns regarding the long-term consequences of consuming processed foods with high sodium and fat content. Additionally, the global trade of red meat showed fluctuations in periods of major foodborne outbreaks related to meat consumption, particularly during the 1990s. The findings of the study highlight strategies at the national level to advance food system transformations towards improvements in public health, nutrition, and sustainability.